Oulu vs HJK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
14/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liiga Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandRuutu+

Match Stats

Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
58
Corner kicks
67
Yellow cards
24
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
58
Corner kicks
67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Ylitolva M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Kirilov M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 57', Borchers M. , Pukki T. ,
  • 57', Kallinen J. , Ring A. ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Ghezali L. ,
  • 62', Mendolin I. , Omotayo J. ,
  • 70', Lingman L. 🟨,
  • 71', Kirilov M. , Hudd R. ,
  • 77', 2 - 0, Korkko J. , Paananen J. (A),
  • 78', Korkko J. , Ojala M. ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Mero T. ,
  • 85', Kemppainen O. , Silander S. ,
  • 85', Karjalainen R. , Kone A. ,
  • 90+6', Silander S. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Oulu
53.9%
Draw
31.9%
HJK
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 24.7% 44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 24.6% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oulu's performance.
  • HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HJK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-22.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oulu that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+29.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HJK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Oulu - HJK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.89)
    3.97
    (3.65)
    8.93
    (2.04)
    -21.1%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Oulu - HJK?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Oulu will win (votes: 1 - 20%). HJK will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. HJK (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 1.
    • Oulu has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • HJK is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Oulu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, HJK has had a series of home games.
    • HJK could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:26. (average 0.8:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oulu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oulu - HJK were as follows:
    21.08.2025 HJK - Oulu 1:0
    20.07.2025 HJK - Oulu 3:1
    14.06.2025 Oulu - HJK 0:4
    27.07.2024 HJK - Oulu 3:0
    31.05.2024 Oulu - HJK 1:0
    Latest results of Oulu
    28.02.2026 Oulu - KuPS Kuopio 5:0
    21.02.2026 Ilves - Oulu 2:2
    07.02.2026 FF Jaro - Oulu 2:6
    31.01.2026 Oulu - SJK 3:0
    24.01.2026 VPS Vaasa - Oulu 1:4
    Latest results of HJK
    10.03.2026 HJK - Gnistan 3:0
    21.02.2026 HJK - TPS 3:1
    13.02.2026 HJK - Hammarby 1:2
    07.02.2026 HJK - Gnistan 3:1
    30.01.2026 Inter Turku - HJK 1:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Inter TurkuIlves3 : 2
    2AC OuluHJK2 : 1

    Final
    1Inter TurkuAC Oulu