Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrükspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
13/01/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Turkish Cup - Round 2
  • Referee: Coskunses R. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaA Spor
turkeyTurkeyA Spor

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
208
Shots on target
106
Corner kicks
105
Yellow cards
20
Total shots
208
Shots on target
106
Shots off target
102
Corner kicks
105
Free kicks
1214
Throw ins
1811

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', Hagi I. 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Hadergjonaj F. ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Fofana D. D. ,
  • 45+1', Aliti F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', 1 - 2, Fofana D. D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 61', Makouta G. , Maestro ,
  • 61', Hagi I. , Hwang Ui-Jo ,
  • 61', Karaca E. , Kaya I. ,
  • 65', Kranevitter M. , Johnson D. ,
  • 65', Fofana D. D. , Doh M. ,
  • 65', Serginho , Sivri A. ,
  • 65', Larsson S. , Kalpakli T. ,
  • 74', 2 - 2, Hadergjonaj F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 74', Janvier N. , Ogundu U. ,
  • 77', Balkovec J. , Ersoy B. ,
  • 90', Akdag U. , Mogultay B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Alanyaspor
58.8%
Draw
23.6%
Fatih Karagümrükspor
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62% 23.8% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2% 23% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alanyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alanyaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.5)
    3.91
    (3.9)
    5.29
    (6.57)
    8%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 3.
    • Alanyaspor is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Karagümrük's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Alanyaspor is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Alanyaspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:10. (average 1.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alanyaspor won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
    21.12.2025 Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:0
    06.02.2025 Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 4:1
    25.02.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Alanyaspor 1:1
    06.10.2023 Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:1
    22.01.2023 Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:2
    Latest results of Alanyaspor
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1GalatasarayGenclerbirligi0 : 2
    2SamsunsporTrabzonspor0 : 1
    3BesiktasAlanyaspor3 : 0
    4KonyasporFenerbahce1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1GenclerbirligiTrabzonspor
    2BesiktasKonyaspor

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2