Result
0:3
16/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Tavernelli C. ⚽,
- 37', Tavernelli C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 55', Paganini L. 🟨,
- 57', Ceccacci M. 🟨,
- 60', Righetti S. 🟨,
- 61', Di Renzo G. ↓, Giovannini R. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 2, Ravasio M. ⚽,
- 70', Nicastro F. ↓, Machin J. ↑,
- 70', Pucciarelli M. ↓, Berengo N. ↑,
- 70', Chierico L. ↓, Eklu S. M. ↑,
- 70', Pattarello E. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
- 73', Paganini L. 🟨,
- 77', Ravasio M. ↓, Cianci P. ↑,
- 77', Tavernelli C. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
- 84', Stabile D. P. ↓, Franchetti Rosada L. ↑,
- 84', Di Paola M. ↓, Mariani E. ↑,
- 90', Machin J. 🟨,
- 90+4', 0 - 3, Cianci P. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vis Pesaro 24.9% | Draw 30.6% | Arezzo 44.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vis Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arezzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vis Pesaro that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arezzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vis Pesaro - Arezzo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.66 ↓ (4.5) |
2.97 ↓ (3.23) |
2.04 ↑ (1.8) |
9.9% (8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vis Pesaro - Arezzo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arezzo (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Arezzo will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vis Pesaro won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Vis Pesaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Arezzo is considered a favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vis Pesaro won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vis Pesaro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vis Pesaro won against Arezzo?
Vis Pesaro has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arezzo won against Vis Pesaro?
Arezzo has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vis Pesaro - Arezzo were as follows:
06.09.2025
Arezzo
-
Vis Pesaro
1:0
07.05.2025
Arezzo
-
Vis Pesaro
0:1
06.01.2025
Arezzo
-
Vis Pesaro
0:0
02.09.2024
Vis Pesaro
-
Arezzo
3:0
11.08.2024
Vis Pesaro
-
Arezzo
1:3
Latest results of Vis Pesaro
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49:19 | 30 | 56 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Ternana | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Juventus U23 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Pianese | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 39 |
| 8 | Pineto | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
| 9 | Gubbio | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 36 |
| 10 | Livorno | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:39 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Forli | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Vis Pesaro | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Guidonia | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Carpi | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 15 | Bra | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Torres | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 | Perugia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 18 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation