Result
3:1
13/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Brazil | BandSports |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.32 | 1.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (221/307) | 75% (241/323) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.32 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.81 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (221/307) | 75% (241/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (27/66) | 44% (29/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (47/80) | 69% (83/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 17% (6/35) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 72 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 3.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Wesley Delgado ⚽, Batna M. (A),
- 22', Bayesh I. 🟨,
- 41', Al Jari Z. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 50', 2 - 0, Wesley Delgado ⚽,
- 52', Wesley Delgado 🟨,
- 56', Okou T. ↓, Al Shehri Y. ↑,
- 56', Sahlouli M. ↓, Harun S. ↑,
- 62', 3 - 0, Batna M. ⚽,
- 64', Al Jari Z. ↓, Al Sarnoukh M. ↑,
- 64', Masoud N. ↓, Al Fawaz A. ↑,
- 78', Hassoun A. ↓, Al Harfi A. ↑,
- 80', Wesley Delgado ↓, Qasim H. ↑,
- 80', Al Anazi A. ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 1, Toze ⚽, Al Shehri Y. (A),
- 86', Soro I. ↓, Bahri E. H. A. ↑,
- 86', Al Boardi O. ↓, Ramirez L. ↑,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+1', Al Khaibari M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Batna M. ↓, Al Abdulwahed F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al Fateh
51.3% | Draw
25.1% | Al-Riyadh
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Fateh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Al-Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Al Fateh - Al-Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.72) |
3.68 ↓
(4.03) |
3.88 ↓
(4.13) |
8.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al Fateh - Al-Riyadh?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Al Fateh will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Al-Riyadh will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Fateh: 58.6% – 97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al Fateh will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
- Al Fateh is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Al-Riyadh is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Al Fateh is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Al Fateh will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Fateh won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Fateh won against Al-Riyadh?
Al Fateh has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Riyadh won against Al Fateh?
Al-Riyadh has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Fateh - Al-Riyadh were as follows:
27.10.2025
Al Fateh
-
Al-Riyadh
2:0
23.04.2025
Al-Riyadh
-
Al Fateh
2:2
28.11.2024
Al Fateh
-
Al-Riyadh
1:2
02.05.2024
Al Fateh
-
Al-Riyadh
2:2
09.11.2023
Al-Riyadh
-
Al Fateh
1:1
Latest results of Al Fateh
Latest results of Al-Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ahli SC | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 46:15 | 31 | 59 |
| 2 | Al Nassr | 23 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 62:18 | 44 | 58 |
| 3 | Al Hilal | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 54:21 | 33 | 53 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38:28 | 10 | 39 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 34:39 | -5 | 38 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 | Al Fateh | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 28 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 42:37 | 5 | 27 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 25 |
| 13 | Al Hazem | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:43 | -20 | 25 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 30:41 | -11 | 22 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22:45 | -23 | 16 |
| 16 | Damac | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 10 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 21:51 | -30 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
