Result
3:1
13/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Brazil | BandSports |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.32 | 1.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (221/307) | 75% (241/323) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.32 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.81 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (221/307) | 75% (241/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (27/66) | 44% (29/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (47/80) | 69% (83/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 17% (6/35) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 72 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 3.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Wesley Delgado ⚽, Batna M. (A),
- 22', Bayesh I. 🟨,
- 41', Al Jari Z. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 50', 2 - 0, Wesley Delgado ⚽,
- 52', Wesley Delgado 🟨,
- 56', Okou T. ↓, Al Shehri Y. ↑,
- 56', Sahlouli M. ↓, Harun S. ↑,
- 62', 3 - 0, Batna M. ⚽,
- 64', Al Jari Z. ↓, Al Sarnoukh M. ↑,
- 64', Masoud N. ↓, Al Fawaz A. ↑,
- 78', Hassoun A. ↓, Al Harfi A. ↑,
- 80', Wesley Delgado ↓, Qasim H. ↑,
- 80', Al Anazi A. ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 1, Toze ⚽, Al Shehri Y. (A),
- 86', Soro I. ↓, Bahri E. H. A. ↑,
- 86', Al Boardi O. ↓, Ramirez L. ↑,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+1', Al Khaibari M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Batna M. ↓, Al Abdulwahed F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al Fateh
51.3% | Draw
25.1% | Al-Riyadh
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Fateh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Al-Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Al Fateh - Al-Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.72) |
3.68 ↓
(4.03) |
3.88 ↓
(4.13) |
8.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al Fateh - Al-Riyadh?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Al Fateh will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Al-Riyadh will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Fateh: 58.6% – 97%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al Fateh will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
- Al Fateh is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Al-Riyadh is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Al Fateh is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Al Fateh will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Fateh won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Fateh won against Al-Riyadh?
Al Fateh has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Riyadh won against Al Fateh?
Al-Riyadh has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Fateh - Al-Riyadh were as follows:
27.10.2025
Al Fateh
-
Al-Riyadh
2:0
23.04.2025
Al-Riyadh
-
Al Fateh
2:2
28.11.2024
Al Fateh
-
Al-Riyadh
1:2
02.05.2024
Al Fateh
-
Al-Riyadh
2:2
09.11.2023
Al-Riyadh
-
Al Fateh
1:1
Latest results of Al Fateh
Latest results of Al-Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 81:21 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 29 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 76:25 | 51 | 71 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 71:31 | 40 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:40 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 49:48 | 1 | 34 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36:49 | -13 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Damac | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 27:47 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24:64 | -40 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
