Result
2:3
09/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Brazil | BandSports |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (309/383) | 84% (294/351) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (309/383) | 84% (294/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (36/67) | 67% (34/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (53/100) | 69% (70/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 42% (10/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 29% (2/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.93 | 2.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.07 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Wijnaldum G. ⚽, Dembele M. (A),
- 27', Al Otaibi R. 🟨,
- 33', 2 - 0, Al Ghannam K. ⚽, Wijnaldum G. (A),
- 38', 2 - 1, Antunes L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Sali E. ↓, Al Absi K. ↑,
- 46', Tambakti M. H. ↓, Al Boardi O. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 2, Antunes L. ⚽, Okou T. (A),
- 69', Al Otaibi R. ↓, Kouka ↑,
- 81', Okou T. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
- 85', Barbet Y. 🟨,
- 90', Antunes L. ↓, Bahri E. H. A. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 3, Sylla M. ⚽, Bahri E. H. A. (A),
Chances of winning
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
45.1% | Draw
25.6% | Al-Riyadh
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ettifaq Dammam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Al-Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(2.03) |
3.67 ↑
(3.58) |
3.19 ↓
(3.33) |
6.9%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Riyadh?
Users Predictions:
Al-Ettifaq Dammam will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Ettifaq Dammam will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ettifaq won 3.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Al-Ettifaq could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Al-Ettifaq won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ettifaq won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ettifaq Dammam won against Al-Riyadh?
Al-Ettifaq Dammam has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Riyadh won against Al-Ettifaq Dammam?
Al-Riyadh has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Riyadh were as follows:
25.12.2025
Al-Riyadh
-
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
0:2
17.04.2025
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
-
Al-Riyadh
1:0
24.11.2024
Al-Riyadh
-
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
0:0
06.04.2024
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
-
Al-Riyadh
1:0
22.10.2023
Al-Riyadh
-
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
1:0
Latest results of Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Latest results of Al-Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 81:21 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 29 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 76:25 | 51 | 71 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 71:31 | 40 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:40 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 49:48 | 1 | 34 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36:49 | -13 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Damac | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 27:47 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24:64 | -40 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
