Result
3:1
13/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.83 | 1.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (232/270) | 92% (620/672) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.83 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.90 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (232/270) | 92% (620/672) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (14/35) | 80% (44/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (40/55) | 83% (157/189) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 22% (6/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.93 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 7 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 3.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | 0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, En Nesyri Y. ⚽, Roger (A),
- 22', Al Siyahi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Al Boardi O. ↓, Sali E. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Antunes L. ⚽,
- 62', Al Ghamdi F. ↓, Diaby M. ↑,
- 62', En Nesyri Y. ↓, Al Shehri S. ↑,
- 69', Roger ↓, Al Oboud A. ↑,
- 70', Okou T. ↓, Al Absi K. ↑,
- 75', Antunes L. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Toze ⚽,
- 83', Al Shanqiti M. ↓, Al Julaydan A. ↑,
- 88', Sali E. ↓, Hazazi S. ↑,
- 90+4', Sylla M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+4', 3 - 1, Sylla M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Al-Riyadh
19% | Draw
22.7% | Al-Ittihad Jeddah
58.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Al-Riyadh have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Al-Ittihad Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ittihad Jeddah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.93 ↑
(4.91) |
4.19 ↓
(4.91) |
1.6 ↑
(1.51) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ittihad (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1 - Al-Riyadh (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Ittihad Jeddah will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Riyadh (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Ittihad (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 0.
- Al-Riyadh has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Ittihad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Al-Ittihad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Al-Ittihad has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Al-Ittihad is considered a favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:15. (average 0.3:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Riyadh won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Riyadh won against Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
Al-Riyadh has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Jeddah won against Al-Riyadh?
Al-Ittihad Jeddah has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah were as follows:
21.11.2025
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Riyadh
2:1
13.03.2025
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Riyadh
2:1
24.10.2024
Al-Riyadh
-
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
0:1
18.02.2024
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Riyadh
2:0
24.08.2023
Al-Riyadh
-
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
0:4
Latest results of Al-Riyadh
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 81:21 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 29 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 76:25 | 51 | 71 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 71:31 | 40 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:40 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 49:48 | 1 | 34 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 34 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36:49 | -13 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 29 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 38:57 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Damac | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 27:47 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24:64 | -40 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
