Villanovense vs Badajoz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Matansio B. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 49', 1 - 1, ,
  • 51', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Villanovense
23.6%
Draw
32.6%
Badajoz
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.9% 28.8% 50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3% 28% 51.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villanovense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Badajoz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Badajoz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Villanovense - Badajoz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.85
    (4.34)
    2.79
    (3.15)
    2.08
    (1.8)
    10%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villanovense won 0.
    • Villanovense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Badajoz is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Villanovense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Badajoz has had a series of home games.
    • Badajoz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Villanovense won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Villanovense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villanovense - Badajoz were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Badajoz - Villanovense 1:0
    17.03.2024 Badajoz - Villanovense 0:0
    05.11.2023 Villanovense - Badajoz 1:2
    Latest results of Villanovense
    28.03.2026 Pueblonuevo - Villanovense 1:0
    22.03.2026 Villanovense - Montijo 3:1
    15.03.2026 Moralo - Villanovense 3:0
    08.03.2026 Villanovense - Diocesano 5:1
    01.03.2026 Villafranca - Villanovense 1:1
    Latest results of Badajoz
    29.03.2026 Badajoz - Cabeza del Buey 2:1
    22.03.2026 Llerenense - Badajoz 0:3
    15.03.2026 Badajoz - Jerez 5:4
    08.03.2026 Badajoz - Pueblonuevo 1:0
    01.03.2026 Badajoz - Montijo 2:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito33217569:214870
    2CD Badajoz33225661:273468
    3Azuaga33188753:302362
    4Moralo331710653:312261
    5Jaraiz331511752:331956
    6Cabeza del Buey331412744:291554
    7Villafranca331661141:36554
    8Villanovense331581045:351053
    9Montijo331271441:41043
    10Jerez CF33717951:50138
    11Puebla339111335:47-1238
    12Llerenense331081532:43-1138
    13Santa Amalia33971729:50-2134
    14Gevora33891632:50-1833
    15Pueblonuevo33861928:55-2730
    16Diocesano336111629:59-3029
    17Montehermoso33582023:61-3823
    18CD Calamonte333131724:44-2022

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation