Derio vs Padura – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 70', 1 - 1, ,
  • 88', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Derio
54.9%
Draw
24.3%
Padura
20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 25.5% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Derio have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The chances for Padura have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derio than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padura than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Derio - Padura Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.66)
    3.75
    (3.75)
    4.4
    (4.4)
    9.6%
    (9.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent form of Derio has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Padura is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Padura may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Derio is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Derio won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Derio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derio - Padura were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Padura - Derio 1:2
    23.03.2024 Padura - Derio 1:1
    04.11.2023 Derio - Padura 1:1
    Latest results of Derio
    26.04.2025 Derio - Santurtzi 0:0
    16.04.2025 Beasain - Derio 2:0
    05.04.2025 San Ignacio - Derio 3:3
    29.03.2025 Derio - Basconia 1:2
    22.03.2025 Leioa - Derio 2:1
    Latest results of Padura
    30.04.2025 Eibar C - Padura 1:2
    26.04.2025 Portugalete - Padura 3:1
    17.04.2025 Padura - Santurtzi 1:1
    29.03.2025 Touring KE - Padura 0:2
    22.03.2025 Padura - Pasaia 1:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete33236468:284075
    2Leioa33187848:311761
    3Touring KE33169846:331357
    4Derio331671053:401355
    5Lagun Onak331661151:321954
    6Alaves C331581056:381853
    7Real Sociedad C331641346:38852
    8San Ignacio331571135:26952
    9Aurrera de Vitoria331561240:40051
    10UD Aretxabaleta331261553:60-742
    11Durango3310111231:35-441
    12Santurtzi339121231:41-1039
    13Pasaia33991526:43-1736
    14Anorga331141836:57-2134
    15Eibar C33891641:53-1233
    16Zamudio33961841:56-1533
    17Zarautz KE33861930:59-2930
    18SD Deusto33672025:47-2225

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