Result
0:2
02/11/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 11
- Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (304/364) | 82% (275/336) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (304/364) | 82% (275/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (18/40) | 45% (22/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (58/98) | 58% (32/55) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 48% (12/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Sane I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 65', Tabibou D. 🟨,
- 67', Guirassy B. ↓, Benhattab Y. ↑,
- 78', Deminguet J. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
- 78', Sane I. ↓, Abuashvili G. ↑,
- 79', Tsitaishvili G. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
- 79', Tabibou D. ↓, Deuff B. ↑,
- 79', El Arabi Y. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
- 82', 0 - 1, Abuashvili G. ⚽,
- 89', Cozza N. ↓, Radakovic U. ↑,
- 89', Lopes A. ↓, Carlgren P. ↑,
- 89', 0 - 2, Diallo H. ⚽, Sabaly C. (A),
- 90+2', Diallo H. ↓, Asoro J. ↑,
- 90+2', Toure A. ↓, Stambouli B. ↑,
- 90+5', Kouao K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nantes
46.9% | Draw
26.7% | Metz
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Nantes - Metz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(2.03) |
3.58 ↓
(3.6) |
3.67 ↑
(3.59) |
3.9%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nantes - Metz?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Nantes (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Nantes (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Nantes will win
(25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.74% – 94.56%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nantes will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Nantes (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 1.
- Nantes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Metz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Metz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Nantes could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hong Hyun-Seok
(Muscle Injury)
Lahdo M.
(Inactive)
Lepenant J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Metz: Ballo-Toure F.
(Muscle Injury)
Hein G.
(Red Card)
Mangondo J.
(Knee Injury)
Mbaye M.
(Foot Injury)
Mboula U.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sane S.
(Red Card)
Sy P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Metz: Traore B.
(Illness)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Metz?
Nantes has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Nantes?
Metz has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Metz were as follows:
03.03.2024
Nantes
-
Metz
0:2
12.11.2023
Metz
-
Nantes
3:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lens | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 32:13 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | PSG | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 40:15 | 25 | 42 |
| 3 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 41:19 | 22 | 35 |
| 4 | Lyon | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 27:18 | 9 | 33 |
| 5 | Lille | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 | Rennes | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 30:25 | 5 | 31 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:22 | 6 | 27 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 9 | Monaco | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 23 |
| 10 | Brest | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 22 |
| 11 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | Lorient | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 23:30 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 24:32 | -8 | 19 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 19 |
| 15 | Nice | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 21:35 | -14 | 18 |
| 16 | Nantes | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14:28 | -14 | 12 |
| 18 | Metz | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 19:40 | -21 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
