Result
0:5
22/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 17
- Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (132/215) | 76% (239/313) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (132/215) | 76% (239/313) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (32/79) | 41% (27/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (55/111) | 54% (37/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -3.48 | 0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Gomez J. 🟨,
- 30', Haquin L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 5)
- 46', Gomez J. ↓, Valiente J. ↑,
- 61', Souza de Almeida L. ↓, Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↑,
- 61', Castillo Segura B. D. ↓, Campi G. ↑,
- 63', Gracia A. ↓, Penilla C. ↑,
- 63', Arce L. 🟨,
- 64', 0 - 1, Corozo J. ⚽, Parrales M. (A),
- 67', 0 - 2, Corozo J. ⚽, Carabali B. (A),
- 69', Miranda B. 🟨,
- 73', Davila E. ↓, Tapiero S. ↑,
- 73', Delgado B. ↓, Charcopa J. ↑,
- 75', 0 - 3, Corozo J. ⚽, Oyola B. (A),
- 82', Arreaga X. ↓, Guerra F. ↑,
- 83', Haquin L. 🟨,
- 86', Miranda B. ↓, Mancilla Quinones J. L. ↑,
- 86', Corozo J. ↓, Solano C. ↑,
- 89', 0 - 4, Parrales M. ⚽, Valiente J. (A),
- 90+1', 0 - 5, Parrales M. ⚽, Solano C. (A),
Chances of winning
Mushuc Runa
41.2% | Draw
27.8% | Barcelona Guayaquil
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mushuc Runa's performance.Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona Guayaquil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mushuc Runa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona Guayaquil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mushuc Runa - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(3.29) |
3.33 ↑
(3.26) |
2.96 ↑
(2.14) |
7.9%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - Barcelona Guayaquil?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Barcelona will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mushuc Runa: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mushuc Runa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 1.
- Mushuc Runa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Barcelona has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Mushuc Runa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:40. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Mushuc Runa?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
23.02.2025
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Mushuc Runa
1:0
01.12.2024
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Mushuc Runa
2:2
02.06.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
1:0
26.08.2023
Mushuc Runa
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
2:2
01.04.2023
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Mushuc Runa
1:0
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 55:23 | 32 | 64 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC ✔ | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 54 |
| 3 | LDU Quito ✔ | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 51 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 58:39 | 19 | 49 |
| 5 | Orense | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Libertad | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec ✔ | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 42 |
| 9 | Aucas ✔ | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 41 |
| 10 | Macara ✔ | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 38 |
| 11 | EL Nacional ✔ | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 34 |
| 12 | Delfin | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 31 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 26:46 | -20 | 28 |
| 14 | Vinotinto | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Manta ✔ | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 34:53 | -19 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
