Result
03/05/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Delfín
38.6% | Draw
31.1% | Mushuc Runa
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)The ML Model estimate for Delfín aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Delfín - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(2.38) |
2.94 ↓
(3.08) |
3.02 ↓
(3.06) |
9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 2.
- Delfín has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mushuc Runa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Delfín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:33. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Delfín won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:6. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against Mushuc Runa?
Delfín has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Delfín?
Mushuc Runa has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Delfín - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
15.06.2025
Delfín
-
Mushuc Runa
3:1
17.02.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Delfín
2:0
08.11.2024
Delfín
-
Mushuc Runa
4:2
19.05.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Delfín
5:0
16.09.2023
Mushuc Runa
-
Delfín
2:0
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:5 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Aucas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 19 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Guayaquil City | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Mushuc Runa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Macara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | LDU Quito | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Dep. Cuenca | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | Emelec | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Orense | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Delfin | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4:6 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Leones del Norte | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Libertad | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Manta | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3:13 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
