Result
2:1
02/11/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Abreu D. (Pen),
- 28', Pacifico P. 🟨,
- 34', de los Santos L. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Lucas Hernandez ⚽,
- 45+2', Arezo M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', 2 - 1, Lucas Hernandez ⚽,
- 62', de los Santos L. ↓, Wunsch N. ↑,
- 62', Agazzi L. ↓, Torterolo A. ↑,
- 62', Abreu D. ↓, Navarro L. ↑,
- 68', Muhlethaler S. ↓, Umpierrez L. ↑,
- 68', Alvarez J. ↓, Biscayzacu X. ↑,
- 73', Arezo M. ↓, Jesus Trindade ↑,
- 83', Sosa I. 🟨,
- 85', Lucas Hernandez ↓, Silva G. ↑,
- 86', Saravia M. ↓, Cambon A. ↑,
- 86', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Peñarol de Montevideo
63.7% | Draw
22.8% | Defensor Sporting
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)The chances for Defensor Sporting have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.44) |
4.08 ↓
(4.09) |
6.86 ↑
(6.82) |
7.7%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 5.
- Peñarol is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Defensor Sporting has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Peñarol is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:18. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 1.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Defensor Sporting?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 8 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Defensor Sporting has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting were as follows:
15.10.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:2
07.06.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
3:0
02.05.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:1
17.11.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
2:0
27.07.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
1:0
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:9 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Penarol | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Central Esp | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 | Nacional | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Montevideo City | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 | Albion | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Liverpool M | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Defensor Sp | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Danubio | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Boston River | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5:14 | -9 | 8 |
| 15 | Progreso | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Juventud | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
