Erzgebirge Aue vs Waldhof Mannheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
17/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 11
  • Referee: Kabalakli C. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 9
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
85
Corner Kicks
64
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
79
Throw-ins
3519
Fouls
87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Hoffmann N. , Ferati A. (A),
  • 42', Zobel T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Schmid M. , Gunther-Schmidt J. ,
  • 48', Majetschak E. 🟨,
  • 53', Clausen M. 🟨,
  • 66', Masca , Shipnoski N. ,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Ferati A. ,
  • 72', Guttau J. , Tashchy B. ,
  • 72', Clausen M. , Ehlers J. ,
  • 72', Seidel P. , Malone R. ,
  • 74', Abifade S. , Yigit S. ,
  • 80', Simnica L. , Bornschein R. ,
  • 83', Ferati A. , Sechelmann T. ,
  • 84', Shipnoski N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
37%
Draw
27.1%
Waldhof Mannheim
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 27.2% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 27.1% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Waldhof Mannheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waldhof Mannheim than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.38)
    3.47
    (3.4)
    2.65
    (2.72)
    6.7%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Waldhof will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 9.6%70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim were as follows:
    18.10.2024 Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue 3:0
    18.05.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim 2:0
    16.12.2023 Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue 3:0
    10.02.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim 2:1
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of Waldhof Mannheim
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck27157543:251852
    2Cottbus27157553:391452
    3Duisburg26138547:331447
    4Verl27129661:402145
    5Munich 186027136844:37745
    6Wehen26135840:291144
    7Hansa Rostock261110544:301443
    8RW Essen261110550:44643
    9Mannheim261231143:47-439
    10Viktoria Koln271151138:35338
    11Ingolstadt2699845:36936
    12Hoffenheim II271051251:48335
    13Regensburg271051236:40-435
    14Stuttgart II271051233:44-1135
    15Alemannia Aachen26951243:48-532
    16Saarbrucken26611935:38-329
    17Aue27591330:45-1524
    18Ulm27731735:55-2024
    19TSV Havelse26481436:56-2020
    20Schweinfurt26322123:61-3811

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