Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 25
  • Referee: Benen L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, RBB TV, tv.dfb.de
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
415
Shots on target
36
Corner kicks
310
Yellow cards
10
Total shots
415
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
19
Corner kicks
310
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1219
Throw ins
2119
Fouls
1711

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Bar M. , Clausen M. (A),
  • 7', Fallmann P. 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 1, Manu K. S. , Michelbrink L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Michelbrink L. , Cigerci T. ,
  • 60', Hannemann M. , Moustfa C. Y. ,
  • 69', Guttau J. , Gunther-Schmidt J. ,
  • 80', Pelivan D. , Butler J. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Borgmann A. , Cigerci T. (A),
  • 88', Clausen M. , Schmid M. ,
  • 89', Collins J. , Ocansey V. A. F. ,
  • 89', Cigerci T. , Cvjetinovic M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
31.3%
Draw
25.7%
Energie Cottbus
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 25.6% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 24.6% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Energie Cottbus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (2.82)
    3.61
    (3.63)
    2.14
    (2.24)
    8%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cottbus will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2.
    • Aue has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Cottbus is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cottbus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cottbus will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Aue won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus were as follows:
    17.09.2025 Energie Cottbus - Erzgebirge Aue 2:1
    29.03.2025 Energie Cottbus - Erzgebirge Aue 1:0
    22.10.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus 1:3
    10.01.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus 3:1
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of Energie Cottbus
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck33207655:272867
    2RW Essen331810569:511864
    3Cottbus33179761:451660
    4Duisburg33179759:431660
    5Hansa Rostock331611662:372559
    6Verl331510872:452755
    7Alemannia Aachen331561260:53751
    8Munich 1860331491049:45451
    9Wehen331461344:42248
    10Viktoria Koln331451448:45347
    11Mannheim331451452:60-847
    12Regensburg331271446:50-443
    13Stuttgart II331261541:54-1342
    14Ingolstadt3310101352:48440
    15Hoffenheim II331171560:59140
    16Saarbrucken338131242:49-737
    17TSV Havelse33781849:73-2429
    18Ulm33852042:68-2629
    19Aue335101838:61-2325
    20Schweinfurt ✔ 33532531:77-4618

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Schweinfurt is Relegated to