Erzgebirge Aue vs Alemannia Aachen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
07/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 28
  • Referee: Exuzidis L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, WDR Fernsehen
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
44
Corner kicks
97
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
126
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
82
Corner kicks
97
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1013
Throw ins
3120
Fouls
129

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 10', da Silva Kiala J. 🟨,
  • 22', Collins J. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Gindorf L. , Schroers M. (A),
  • 27', 0 - 2, Gindorf L. , Loune M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Stefaniak M. , Clausen M. ,
  • 46', Ocansey V. A. F. , Weinhauer E. ,
  • 46', Guttau J. , Gunther-Schmidt J. ,
  • 47', 1 - 2, Malone R. , Weinhauer E. (A),
  • 60', da Silva Kiala J. , Yarbrough L. ,
  • 69', Loune M. , Ademi F. ,
  • 76', Fallmann P. , Schmid M. ,
  • 80', 1 - 3, Nadjombe P. , Ademi F. (A),
  • 81', Simnica L. , Fabisch J. ,
  • 84', Ademi F. 🟨,
  • 88', Schroers M. , Sillah O. ,
  • 88', Gindorf L. , Castelle N. H. ,
  • 88', Wagner M. , Strujic S. ,
  • 90+6', Ehlers J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
35.5%
Draw
26.8%
Alemannia Aachen
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 26.3% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 26.2% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Alemannia Aachen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.4)
    3.47
    (3.48)
    2.49
    (2.59)
    7.4%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Aachen will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).
    • Aue is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Aachen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Aue may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Aue won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen were as follows:
    30.09.2025 Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue 0:1
    08.02.2025 Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen 1:1
    31.08.2024 Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue 1:2
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of Alemannia Aachen
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck35227658:283073
    2Cottbus35199768:482066
    3RW Essen351810773:581564
    4Duisburg35189863:471663
    5Hansa Rostock351612764:422260
    6Verl351610975:472858
    7Alemannia Aachen351761266:551157
    8Munich 18603515101052:47555
    9Wehen351481349:47250
    10Mannheim351471457:65-849
    11Viktoria Koln351451648:49-147
    12Regensburg351371552:55-346
    13Ingolstadt3511101455:49643
    14Stuttgart II351271645:59-1443
    15Saarbrucken359141244:50-641
    16Hoffenheim II351171761:65-440
    17TSV Havelse35881953:77-2432
    18Ulm35952146:72-2632
    19Aue ✔ 355121842:65-2327
    20Schweinfurt ✔ 35552533:79-4620

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Aue is Relegated to
    Schweinfurt is Relegated to