Result
1:1
04/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 24
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 69', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 71', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Marinhense
63.2% | Draw
23.8% | SC Lusitânia
13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Marinhense - SC Lusitânia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.49) |
3.81 ↑
(3.7) |
6.94 ↑
(6.75) |
10.3%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).
- SC Lusitânia is Relegated to
- Marinhense is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- SC Lusitânia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Marinhense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Marinhense has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Marinhense is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marinhense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Marinhense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Marinhense won against SC Lusitânia?
Marinhense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SC Lusitânia won against Marinhense?
SC Lusitânia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marinhense - SC Lusitânia were as follows:
06.12.2025
SC Lusitânia
-
Marinhense
0:0
09.03.2024
SC Lusitânia
-
Marinhense
2:0
12.11.2023
Marinhense
-
SC Lusitânia
2:0
Latest results of Marinhense
Latest results of SC Lusitânia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 32:10 | 22 | 52 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 41:20 | 21 | 46 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 44 |
| 4 | Oliveira Hospital | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 34:12 | 22 | 44 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 41 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 21:24 | -3 | 36 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 35 |
| 8 | Peniche | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 27 |
| 9 | Fatima | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:28 | -8 | 26 |
| 10 | Lajense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 31:33 | -2 | 26 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 24 |
| 12 | Samora Correia | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 21:32 | -11 | 23 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 32:57 | -25 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to
