Ferrol vs Burgos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Ferrol - Burgos
Result
0:1
05/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 24
  • Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
Ferrol - Burgos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.28
Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
79
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
34
Blocked Shots
12
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
46
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
1020
Offsides
40
Fouls
2010
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
3619
Touches in the Opposition Box
1717
Passes
81% (352/434)69% (211/304)
Passes in the final third
64% (74/115)50% (52/105)
Crosses
23% (6/26)25% (3/12)
Tackles
80% (8/10)53% (10/19)
Clearances Total
4356
Interceptions
79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', Elady , Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ,
  • 45+5', 0 - 1, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Cordoba I. , Curro ,
  • 46', Ojeda D. , Alex ,
  • 56', Espiau Hernandez E. D. , Nino F. ,
  • 64', Insua E. , Martinez B. ,
  • 64', Blanco R. , Garcia N. ,
  • 69', Sene J. 🟨,
  • 71', Sene J. , Perea L. ,
  • 75', Miguel F. 🟨,
  • 78', Dorrio J. , Borrego C. ,
  • 78', Jauregi E. , Carballo D. ,
  • 83', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. , Pipa ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5cw5x8tx

Chances of winning


Ferrol
28.7%
Draw
35.6%
Burgos
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 32% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 32.9% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferrol's form might have worsened.
  • Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burgos's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferrol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burgos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ferrol - Burgos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (2.43)
    2.65
    (2.92)
    2.65
    (3.18)
    6%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • What is the prediction for Ferrol - Burgos?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Burgos will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 29.2%76.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 0.
    • Ferrol has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Burgos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Ferrol: Cabaco E. (Injury) Manzanara F. (Muscle Injury) Martinez B. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Burgos: Appin K. (Knee Injury) Navarro R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Burgos were as follows:
    24.10.2024 Burgos - Ferrol 1:1
    11.02.2024 Burgos - Ferrol 2:0
    19.11.2023 Ferrol - Burgos 1:1
    Latest results of Ferrol
    01.03.2025 Huesca - Ferrol 3:1
    22.02.2025 Ferrol - Córdoba 0:1
    14.02.2025 Mirandés - Ferrol 4:1
    08.02.2025 Ferrol - Castellón 1:3
    03.02.2025 Levante - Ferrol 0:1
    Latest results of Burgos
    01.03.2025 Castellón - Burgos 2:1
    22.02.2025 Burgos - Real Oviedo 1:2
    16.02.2025 Zaragoza - Burgos 0:1
    09.02.2025 Burgos - Racing Santander 2:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gijon00000:000
    2Cordoba00000:000
    3Las Palmas00000:000
    4Castellon00000:000
    5Albacete00000:000
    6Eibar00000:000
    7Malaga00000:000
    8Cadiz CF00000:000
    9Burgos CF00000:000
    10Huesca00000:000
    11Racing Santander00000:000
    12Almeria00000:000
    13Dep. La Coruna00000:000
    14Valladolid00000:000
    15Zaragoza00000:000
    16Real Sociedad B00000:000
    17Cultural Leonesa00000:000
    18Leganes00000:000
    19Ceuta00000:000
    20Granada CF00000:000
    21Mirandes00000:000
    22Andorra00000:000

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

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