Result
3:0
31/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 30
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (155/234) | 76% (270/353) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (155/234) | 76% (270/353) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (25/66) | 43% (29/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (63/110) | 60% (56/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Akhamrich Y. ⚽,
- 29', 2 - 0, Akhamrich Y. ⚽, Kilgour A. (A),
- 33', Driscoll-Glennon A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Delaney R. ↓, Lloyd B. ↑,
- 56', Shephard L. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
- 57', Biggins H. 🟨,
- 61', Sparkes J. 🟨,
- 74', Spellman M. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
- 75', Lloyd B. ↓, Jamieson L. ↑,
- 79', Harrison E. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
- 81', Akhamrich Y. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
- 86', Kamwa B. ↓, Davies T. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 0, Cavegn F. ⚽, Forde S. (A),
- 90+8', Mola C. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bristol Rovers
53.7% | Draw
25.1% | Newport County
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Bristol Rovers - Newport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.71) |
3.7 ↑
(3.59) |
4.43 ↓
(4.47) |
6.9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Newport County?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Newport will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Newport (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Newport (4.15) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 2 - 40%). Newport (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 3.
- Bristol Rovers is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Newport has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Bristol Rovers is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: McEachran J.
(Inactive)
Omochere P.
(Injury)
Southam-Hales M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Newport: Opoku N.
(Red Card)
Patten K.
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Newport: Garner G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.7:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Newport County?
Bristol Rovers has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Bristol Rovers?
Newport County has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Newport County were as follows:
06.09.2025
Newport County
-
Bristol Rovers
2:3
14.11.2023
Newport County
-
Bristol Rovers
0:1
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
Latest results of Newport County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
