Result
2:3
06/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 7
- Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4, Arena Premium 5 |
 Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD, Sky Sports+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (161/260) | 68% (202/298) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 3.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (161/260) | 68% (202/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (32/83) | 31% (22/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (48/92) | 49% (52/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.04 | 1.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Southam-Hales M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 52', 0 - 1, Thomas L. ⚽,
- 56', Baker M. 🟨,
- 59', 0 - 2, Thomas L. ⚽,
- 64', Baker M. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
- 64', Evans C. ↓, Whitmore K. ↑,
- 67', Cavegn F. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
- 68', McEachran J. 🟨,
- 71', Reindorf M. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 3, Harrison E. ⚽, Chang A. (A),
- 77', Thomas L. ↓, Sotiriou R. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 3, Whitmore K. ⚽, Opoku N. (A),
- 82', Southam-Hales M. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
- 82', Chang A. ↓, Mola C. ↑,
- 86', Braybrooke S. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
- 86', Brennan C. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 3, Opoku N. ⚽,
- 90+5', Omochere P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Newport County
26.8% | Draw
25.4% | Bristol Rovers
47.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Newport County - Bristol Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.5 ↓
(3.7) |
3.65 ↓
(3.73) |
1.97 ↑
(1.9) |
6.7%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Newport County - Bristol Rovers?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 3.
- Newport is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bristol Rovers is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bristol Rovers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Bristol Rovers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Bristol Rovers will win today's game, with odds of 1.89.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Newport won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Bristol Rovers?
Newport County has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Newport County?
Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
14.11.2023
Newport County
-
Bristol Rovers
0:1
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gillingham | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Swindon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Walsall | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Bromley | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Crewe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Salford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 11 |
| 10 | Notts Co | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Cambridge Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Tranmere | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 | Harrogate | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Colchester | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Oldham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 | Barnet | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 19 | Barrow | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 20 | Crawley | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
| 22 | Newport | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 23 | Cheltenham | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 24 | Accrington | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
