Result
 
                    1:2 penalties
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        18/05/2025 at  01:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  A-League Women - Play Offs - Final
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Australia | 10 Bold, 10 Play, Paramount+ | 
|  New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 | 
|  Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.39 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 49% | 51% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 30 | 15 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 11 | 4 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 72% (311/431) | 70% (315/450) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.39 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.60 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 30 | 15 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 11 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 14 | 5 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 6 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 16 | 5 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 14 | 10 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 39 | 15 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 18 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 72% (311/431) | 70% (315/450) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 30% (22/74) | 35% (25/72) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 59% (98/166) | 54% (60/111) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 5% (1/22) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 2.78 | 0.40 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 45 | 45 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 18 | 8 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 65% (15/23) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 47 | 62 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 42 | 38 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 15 | 13 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 10 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.60 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.40 | 0.59 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 0 - 1, Gomez I. ⚽, 
- 52', Galic B. 🟨, 
- 63', Jancevski A. 🟨, 
- 66', Lowe R. ↓, Furphy H. ↑, 
- 72', Rowe S. ↓, Hughes B. ↑, 
- 80', 1 - 1, Bunge C. ⚽, Murphy A. (A), 
- 86', Nunn B. ↓, Fuller T. ↑, 
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 91', King ↓, Kraszula G. ↑, 
- 109', Gomez I. 🟨, 
- 110', Rasmussen A. ↓, Trimis P. ↑, 
- Penalties (4 - 5)
- 1, Jancevski A. (Pen), 
- 1, Fuller T. (Pen), 
- 2, Gielnik E. (Pen), 
- 2, Trimis P. (Pen), 
- 3, Chidiac A. (Pen), 
- 3, Pennock J. (Pen), 
- 4, Furphy H. (Pen), 
- 4, Gomez I. (Pen), 
- 5, Morrison K. (Pen), 
- 5, Galic B. (Pen), 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Melbourne Victory 58%
 | Draw 21.7%
 | Central Coast Mariners 20.3%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.58 ↓ (1.78)
 | 4.23 ↑ (4.04)
 | 4.52 ↑ (3.84)
 | 9% (7.2%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 2.
- Melbourne Victory is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Central Coast is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Central Coast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Melbourne Victory is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Melbourne Victory will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Central Coast Mariners?
                    
                    
                        
                            Melbourne Victory has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Melbourne Victory?
                    
                    
                        
                             Central Coast Mariners has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
                                                        
                                11.04.2025 
                                Central Coast Mariners 
                                - 
                                Melbourne Victory 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                16.02.2025 
                                Melbourne Victory 
                                - 
                                Central Coast Mariners 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                22.11.2024 
                                Central Coast Mariners 
                                - 
                                Melbourne Victory 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                14.04.2024 
                                Melbourne Victory 
                                - 
                                Central Coast Mariners 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                10.02.2024 
                                Central Coast Mariners 
                                - 
                                Melbourne Victory 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Melbourne Victory                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Central Coast Mariners                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Perth W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 | 
| 2 | Adelaide W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 3 | Brisbane Roar W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 4 | Newcastle W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 5 | Canberra W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 6 | Sydney W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 7 | Melbourne Victory W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 8 | Melbourne City W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 9 | Wellington Phoenix W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 10 | Central Coast Mariners W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 11 | WS Wanderers W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 | 
      Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)