Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League Women
Result
3:3
27/12/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League Women - Round 9
  • Referee: Malau-Aduli P. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaChannel 10, Paramount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.361.55
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
614
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
73% (274/375)80% (345/429)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.361.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.351.69
Total shots
614
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
412
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1028
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
1912
Passes
73% (274/375)80% (345/429)
Long passes
28% (19/67)58% (29/50)
Passes in final third
51% (33/65)60% (62/104)
Crosses
9% (1/11)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.261.50
Throw-ins
3533
Fouls
1219
Tackles
65% (17/26)53% (9/17)
Duels won
6257
Clearances
1824
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.691.35
Goals prevented
-1.31-1.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Trimis P. ⚽, Gomez I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 46', Maher G. ↓, Ray T. ↑,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Rasmussen A. ⚽, Gomez I. (A),
  • 55', Pickett L. 🟨,
  • 61', 3 - 0, Rasmussen A. ⚽, Martin A. (A),
  • 65', Pickett L. ↓, Techera S. ↑,
  • 65', Lowe R. ↓, Saveska S. ↑,
  • 67', Gomez I. ↓, Levin T. ↑,
  • 70', White K. ↓, O'Grady E. ↑,
  • 80', Rasmussen A. ↓, Familton E. ↑,
  • 80', Trimis P. ↓, Farrow M. ↑,
  • 80', King ↓, Buchanan K. ↑,
  • 88', Quilligan T. ↓, Clough C. ↑,
  • 90+1', 3 - 1, Pollicina R. ⚽, Furphy H. (A),
  • 90+3', 3 - 2, Sakalis S. ⚽,
  • 90+4', 3 - 3, O'Grady E. ⚽,
  • 90+8', Trimis P. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Di Sipio I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Central Coast Mariners
25.9%		Draw
26.7%		Melbourne Victory
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.7% 25.6% 48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6% 25.5% 48.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Central Coast Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
    •

    Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.5 ↓
    (3.51)    		 3.39 ↓
    (3.53)    		 1.91 ↑
    (1.86)    		 10.3%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Melbourne Victory (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Melbourne Victory (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Central Coast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Central Coast has had a series of away games.
    • Melbourne Victory might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
    15.11.2025 Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners 1:0
    18.05.2025 Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners 1:2
    11.04.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 0:1
    16.02.2025 Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners 2:0
    22.11.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 1:1
    Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
    20.12.2025 Canberra United - Central Coast Mariners 1:1
    14.12.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners 1:2
    07.12.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets 4:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Sydney FC - Central Coast Mariners 1:0
    15.11.2025 Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners 1:0
    Latest results of Melbourne Victory
    23.12.2025 Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory 2:1
    19.12.2025 Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory 1:3
    13.12.2025 Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United 1:0 ✺
    05.12.2025 Melbourne Victory - Canberra United 1:3
    30.11.2025 Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory 3:0
    Australian A-League Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Melbourne City W1693429:171230
    2Canberra W1683525:17827
    3Adelaide W1582519:17226
    4Wellington Phoenix W1574429:131625
    5Perth W1672717:22-523
    6Melbourne Victory W1764724:22222
    7Central Coast Mariners W1664625:25022
    8Brisbane Roar W1664626:31-522
    9Newcastle W1652921:28-717
    10WS Wanderers W1744916:31-1516
    11Sydney W1636714:22-815

          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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