Orvietana vs San Donato Tavarnelle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group E - Round 20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+2', 1 - 0, Gurschi P. ,

Chances of winning


Orvietana
38.3%
Draw
28.5%
San Donato Tavarnelle
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 26.6% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 25.6% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orvietana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • San Donato Tavarnelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Orvietana - San Donato Tavarnelle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.37)
    3.18
    (3.38)
    2.72
    (2.54)
    10.5%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 9).
    • Recent performances by Orvietana have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Donato is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Orvietana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orvietana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orvietana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orvietana - San Donato Tavarnelle were as follows:
    20.09.2025 San Donato Tavarnelle - Orvietana 3:1
    19.01.2025 Orvietana - San Donato Tavarnelle 0:1
    22.09.2024 San Donato Tavarnelle - Orvietana 0:1
    07.04.2024 San Donato Tavarnelle - Orvietana 0:1
    26.11.2023 Orvietana - San Donato Tavarnelle 0:3
    Latest results of Orvietana
    Latest results of San Donato Tavarnelle
    Italian Serie D - Group E Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grosseto26202449:173262
    2Seravezza Pozzi26148435:191650
    3Tau26147541:221949
    4Siena26135834:201444
    5Terranuova Traiana26126822:22042
    6Prato26134935:26941
    7Foligno26117838:31740
    8Scandicci26812628:21736
    9Montevarchi26811723:29-635
    10Ghiviborgo2689938:34433
    11Trestina26961130:31-133
    12San Donato26612823:28-530
    13Camaiore26851333:42-929
    14Orvietana26771227:31-428
    15Follonica Gavorrano26771229:41-1228
    16Poggibonsi26651521:37-1623
    17Vivi Altotevere262111314:35-2117
    18Cannara26361717:51-3415

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
          Relegation