Result
4:2
30/04/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 32
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Dunn J. ⚽,
- 23', 1 - 1, Titus O. ⚽,
- 45+1', 2 - 1, Campbell S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 64', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 69', 4 - 1, ⚽,
- 87', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Treasure Beach 21.1% | Draw 23.9% | Tivoli Gardens 55% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Treasure Beach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Treasure Beach's form might have worsened.Tivoli Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tivoli Gardens's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treasure Beach than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Treasure Beach, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (-15.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tivoli Gardens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Treasure Beach - Tivoli Gardens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.38 ↑ (2.79) |
3.87 ↑ (3.33) |
1.68 ↓ (2.39) |
8.2% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Treasure Beach - Tivoli Gardens?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Treasure Beach will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Tivoli Gardens will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tivoli Gardens (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Treasure Beach won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.5:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Treasure Beach won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Treasure Beach won against Tivoli Gardens?
Treasure Beach has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tivoli Gardens won against Treasure Beach?
Tivoli Gardens has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Treasure Beach - Tivoli Gardens were as follows:
01.03.2026
Treasure Beach
-
Tivoli Gardens
4:2
28.01.2026
Tivoli Gardens
-
Treasure Beach
0:0
03.03.2024
Treasure Beach
-
Tivoli Gardens
0:5
04.12.2023
Tivoli Gardens
-
Treasure Beach
3:2
Latest results of Treasure Beach
Latest results of Tivoli Gardens
Jamaica National Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montego Bay ✔ | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 78:41 | 37 | 71 |
| 2 | Mount Pleasant | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 62:24 | 38 | 68 |
| 3 | Portmore | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 50:34 | 16 | 62 |
| 4 | Waterhouse ✔ | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 44:32 | 12 | 59 |
| 5 | Racing United | 37 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 48:33 | 15 | 56 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 37 | 17 | 4 | 16 | 53:40 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Arnett Gardens | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 55:44 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Chapelton | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 40:47 | -7 | 49 |
| 9 | Dunbeholden | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 40:44 | -4 | 48 |
| 10 | Tivoli | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 37:53 | -16 | 44 |
| 11 | Treasure Beach | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 41:57 | -16 | 40 |
| 12 | Molynes | 37 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 43:46 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Harbour View | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 51:71 | -20 | 36 |
| 14 | Spanish Town Police ✔ | 37 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 25:101 | -76 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Montego Bay is Qualified for Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Waterhouse is Qualified for Premier League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Spanish Town Police is Relegated to