Treasure Beach vs Tivoli Gardens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
30/04/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 32

Match Stats

Ball possession
71%29%
Total shots
74
Shots on target
51
Corner kicks
20
Total shots
74
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
23
Corner kicks
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Dunn J. ,
  • 23', 1 - 1, Titus O. ,
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Campbell S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 64', 3 - 1, ,
  • 69', 4 - 1, ,
  • 87', 4 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Treasure Beach
21.1%
Draw
23.9%
Tivoli Gardens
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 27.9% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 27.6% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Treasure Beach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Treasure Beach's form might have worsened.
  • Tivoli Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tivoli Gardens's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treasure Beach than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Treasure Beach, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (-15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tivoli Gardens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Treasure Beach - Tivoli Gardens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.38
    (2.79)
    3.87
    (3.33)
    1.68
    (2.39)
    8.2%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Treasure Beach - Tivoli Gardens?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Treasure Beach will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Tivoli Gardens will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tivoli Gardens (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Treasure Beach won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.5:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Treasure Beach won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Treasure Beach - Tivoli Gardens were as follows:
    01.03.2026 Treasure Beach - Tivoli Gardens 4:2
    28.01.2026 Tivoli Gardens - Treasure Beach 0:0
    03.03.2024 Treasure Beach - Tivoli Gardens 0:5
    04.12.2023 Tivoli Gardens - Treasure Beach 3:2
    Latest results of Treasure Beach
    Latest results of Tivoli Gardens
    Jamaica National Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montego Bay ✔ 37218878:413771
    2Mount Pleasant371814562:243868
    3Portmore371614750:341662
    4Waterhouse ✔ 371781244:321259
    5Racing United371317748:331556
    6Cavalier371741653:401355
    7Arnett Gardens371571555:441152
    8Chapelton371471640:47-749
    9Dunbeholden371391540:44-448
    10Tivoli3711111537:53-1644
    11Treasure Beach379131541:57-1640
    12Molynes378151443:46-339
    13Harbour View378121751:71-2036
    14Spanish Town Police ✔ 37752525:101-7626

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Montego Bay is Qualified for Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Waterhouse is Qualified for Premier League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Spanish Town Police is Relegated to