Result
3:0
08/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 12
- Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5, Arena Sport 6 |
Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | CCTV-5, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Molotov TV |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
South-america | ESPN 4 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.61 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (605/657) | 81% (305/377) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.61 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (605/657) | 81% (305/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (19/27) | 57% (30/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (159/189) | 54% (36/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/17) | 0% (0/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -1.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Gomes A. ⚽,
- 33', 2 - 0, Greenwood M. (Pen),
- 33', Locko B. ↓, Guindo D. ↑,
- 37', Mboup P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Balde M. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
- 46', Mboup P. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
- 70', Gomes A. ↓, O'Riley M. ↑,
- 74', Magnetti H. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
- 79', Aguerd N. ↓, Egan-Riley C. ↑,
- 79', Greenwood M. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 0, Aubameyang P. ⚽, O'Riley M. (A),
- 83', Chotard J. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
- 86', Aubameyang P. ↓, Mmadi T. ↑,
- 87', Hojbjerg P. ↓, Bakola D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Olympique Marseille 65.9% | Draw 20% | Brest 14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Olympique Marseille - Brest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.46 ↑ (1.41) |
4.81 ↓ (4.91) |
6.91 ↓ (7.05) |
3.9% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Brest?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 24 - 82.8%). Brest will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 69.1% – 96.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 1 - 50%). Brest (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.25 - Marseille (2.01) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Marseille (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Brest (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 3.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Brest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Marseille is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Marseille: Balerdi L.
(Muscle Injury)
Garcia U.
(Red Card)
Gouiri A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Medina F.
(Ankle Injury)
Traore H. J.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Marseille: Kondogbia G.
(Calf Injury)
Nadir B.
(Head Injury)
Weah T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Brest: Doumbia K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:15. (average 2.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Brest?
Olympique Marseille has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Olympique Marseille?
Brest has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Brest were as follows:
27.04.2025
Olympique Marseille
-
Brest
4:1
17.08.2024
Brest
-
Olympique Marseille
1:5
18.02.2024
Brest
-
Olympique Marseille
1:0
26.08.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Brest
2:0
27.05.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Brest
1:2
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lens | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 32:13 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | PSG | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 40:15 | 25 | 42 |
| 3 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 41:19 | 22 | 35 |
| 4 | Lyon | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 27:18 | 9 | 33 |
| 5 | Lille | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 | Rennes | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 30:25 | 5 | 31 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:22 | 6 | 27 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 9 | Monaco | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 23 |
| 10 | Brest | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 22 |
| 11 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | Lorient | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 23:30 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 24:32 | -8 | 19 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 19 |
| 15 | Nice | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 21:35 | -14 | 18 |
| 16 | Nantes | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14:28 | -14 | 12 |
| 18 | Metz | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 19:40 | -21 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2