Ceará vs Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Ceará
35.9%
Draw
30.1%
Fortaleza
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 30% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 30.2% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Ceará - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.57)
    3.03
    (3.05)
    2.68
    (2.67)
    9.6%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Fortaleza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Fortaleza were as follows:
    01.03.2026 Fortaleza - Ceará 1:1
    08.02.2026 Ceará - Fortaleza 0:0
    06.11.2025 Ceará - Fortaleza 1:1
    13.07.2025 Fortaleza - Ceará 0:1
    22.03.2025 Ceará - Fortaleza 1:1
    Latest results of Ceará
    01.03.2026 Fortaleza - Ceará 1:1
    26.02.2026 Ceará - EC Primavera 2:1
    22.02.2026 Ceará - Floresta 4:0
    15.02.2026 Floresta - Ceará 0:3
    08.02.2026 Ceará - Fortaleza 0:0
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    01.03.2026 Fortaleza - Ceará 1:1
    24.02.2026 Fortaleza - Maguary 4:3
    08.02.2026 Ceará - Fortaleza 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1FerroviarioFortaleza0 : 2, 0 : 2
    2Floresta ECCeara0 : 4, 0 : 3

    Final
    1FortalezaCeara1 : 1

    3rd place
    2FerroviarioFloresta EC1 : 0