Ceará vs Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A
Result
1:1
06/11/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 32
  • Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.47
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
85% (333/391)76% (182/241)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.831.47
Total shots
137
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
209
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
85% (333/391)76% (182/241)
Long passes
52% (23/44)54% (28/52)
Passes in final third
69% (76/110)63% (52/82)
Crosses
45% (10/22)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.250.26
Throw-ins
1612
Fouls
1712
Tackles
53% (8/15)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4359
Clearances
1935
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.470.83
Goals prevented
0.47-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', Matheus Bahia 🟨,
  • 30', Fernando Sobral ↓, Diego ↑,
  • 30', Mancuso E. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Bareiro A. ⚽, Breno Lopes (A),
  • 38', Breno Lopes 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Vina 🟨,
  • 60', Moises ↓, Lucas Crispim ↑,
  • 62', Pedro Henrique ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
  • 62', Vinicius Zanocelo ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
  • 66', Avila G. 🟨,
  • 69', Breno Lopes ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
  • 69', Herrera J. ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
  • 78', Bareiro A. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
  • 79', Pierre ↓, Pablo Roberto ↑,
  • 81', Vina ↓, Lourenco ↑,
  • 81', Galeano A. ↓, Aylon ↑,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Pedro Raul ⚽, Marcos Victor (A),
  • 90+7', Aylon 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ceará
41.2%		Draw
30.1%		Fortaleza
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 29.4% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 29.5% 30.6%

Ceará - Fortaleza Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.32 ↓
(2.35)		 3.18 ↓
(3.22)		 3.28 ↑
(3.11)		 5.1%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ceará - Fortaleza?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 35.2% – 84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Ceará (votes: 3 - 60%). Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 4.
    • Ceará is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fortaleza's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ceará might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Ceará: Marllon (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Allanzinho (Inactive) Benevenuto (Hamstring Injury) Joao Ricardo (Shoulder Injury) Marinho (Ankle Injury) Pereira M. (Inactive) Pochettino T. (Yellow Cards) Rodrigo (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ceará: Pedro Henrique (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortaleza: Weverson (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Fortaleza were as follows:
    13.07.2025 Fortaleza - Ceará 0:1
    22.03.2025 Ceará - Fortaleza 1:1
    15.03.2025 Fortaleza - Ceará 0:1
    08.02.2025 Fortaleza - Ceará 1:2
    06.04.2024 Ceará - Fortaleza 2:1
    Latest results of Ceará
    02.11.2025 Ceará - Fluminense 2:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Fluminense - Ceará 1:0 ✺
    25.10.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Ceará 1:0 ✺
    19.10.2025 Ceará - Botafogo RJ 0:2 ✺
    15.10.2025 Sport Recife - Ceará 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    01.11.2025 Santos - Fortaleza 1:1 ✺
    25.10.2025 Fortaleza - Flamengo 1:0 ✺
    18.10.2025 Cruzeiro - Fortaleza 1:0 ✺
    15.10.2025 Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama 0:2 ✺
    05.10.2025 Juventude - Fortaleza 1:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino00000:000
    2Internacional00000:000
    3Vasco00000:000
    4Gremio00000:000
    5Botafogo RJ00000:000
    6Santos00000:000
    7Sao Paulo00000:000
    8Coritiba00000:000
    9Cruzeiro00000:000
    10Vitoria00000:000
    11Atletico-MG00000:000
    12Fluminense00000:000
    13Flamengo RJ00000:000
    14Palmeiras00000:000
    15Athletico-PR00000:000
    16Bahia00000:000
    17Corinthians00000:000
    18Mirassol00000:000
    19Remo00000:000
    20Chapecoense-SC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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