Result
1:1
06/11/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 32
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (333/391) | 76% (182/241) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (333/391) | 76% (182/241) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (23/44) | 54% (28/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (76/110) | 63% (52/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (10/22) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', Matheus Bahia 🟨,
- 30', Fernando Sobral ↓, Diego ↑,
- 30', Mancuso E. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Bareiro A. ⚽, Breno Lopes (A),
- 38', Breno Lopes 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Vina 🟨,
- 60', Moises ↓, Lucas Crispim ↑,
- 62', Pedro Henrique ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 62', Vinicius Zanocelo ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
- 66', Avila G. 🟨,
- 69', Breno Lopes ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
- 69', Herrera J. ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
- 78', Bareiro A. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
- 79', Pierre ↓, Pablo Roberto ↑,
- 81', Vina ↓, Lourenco ↑,
- 81', Galeano A. ↓, Aylon ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Pedro Raul ⚽, Marcos Victor (A),
- 90+7', Aylon 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ceará
41.2% | Draw
30.1% | Fortaleza
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ceará - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↓
(2.35) |
3.18 ↓
(3.22) |
3.28 ↑
(3.11) |
5.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ceará - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 35.2% – 84.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Ceará (votes: 3 - 60%). Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 4.
- Ceará is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Fortaleza's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ceará might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Ceará: Marllon
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Allanzinho
(Inactive)
Benevenuto
(Hamstring Injury)
Joao Ricardo
(Shoulder Injury)
Marinho
(Ankle Injury)
Pereira M.
(Inactive)
Pochettino T.
(Yellow Cards)
Rodrigo
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Pedro Henrique
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Weverson
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Fortaleza?
Ceará has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Ceará?
Fortaleza has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Fortaleza were as follows:
13.07.2025
Fortaleza
-
Ceará
0:1
22.03.2025
Ceará
-
Fortaleza
1:1
15.03.2025
Fortaleza
-
Ceará
0:1
08.02.2025
Fortaleza
-
Ceará
1:2
06.04.2024
Ceará
-
Fortaleza
2:1
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras ✔ | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 58:28 | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:20 | 44 | 68 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 46:22 | 24 | 64 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 54:33 | 21 | 59 |
| 5 | Bahia | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 44:40 | 4 | 53 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 44:28 | 16 | 52 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 51 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 45 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 44 |
| 10 | Vasco | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 50:49 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 38:50 | -12 | 42 |
| 12 | Ceara | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 31:30 | 1 | 42 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 35:38 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | Gremio | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Internacional | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37:46 | -9 | 37 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 29:47 | -18 | 35 |
| 17 | Santos | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
| 18 | Juventude | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 29:59 | -30 | 32 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 34:51 | -17 | 31 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:55 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
