Ayr United vs Hamilton Academical – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Somerset Park (Ayr).

SCOTLAND: Championship - Round 30
Referee: Graham C. (Sco)
Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
United-kingdom	Ayr United Media

Match Stats


Ball Possession
55%	45%
Goal Attempts
13	12
Shots on Goal
2	5
Shots off Goal
11	7
Corner Kicks
9	5
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
Yellow Cards
2	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', McGinty S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Musonda F. ↓, Watret D. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Shaw O. ⚽, Bradley S. (A),
66', McKinnon C. ↓, Rus M. ↑,
68', O'Hara K. 🟨,
74', Robinson S. 🟨,
78', Oakley G. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
78', McLennan C. ↓, Walker E. ↑,
80', Bradley S. ↓, MacDonald K. ↑,
82', Shaw O. 🟨,
85', Walker E. 🟨,
88', Rus M. 🟨,
89', Shaw O. ↓, Barjonas J. ↑,
90+3', Lyness D. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Walker E. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Ayr United
57.9%

Draw
24.2%

Hamilton Academical
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

22.6%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

21.1%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Hamilton Academical has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Ayr United - Hamilton Academical Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.52)	3.84 ↓ (4.1)	5.17 ↓ (5.68)	7.8% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Ayr United - Hamilton Academical?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ayr will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Hamilton will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ayr won 5.
Recent matches Ayr is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Hamilton is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Ayr is a favorite.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Ayr won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24:12 (average 1.5:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Ayr won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:7 (average 1.4:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against Hamilton Academical?

Ayr United has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hamilton Academical won against Ayr United?

Hamilton Academical has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ayr United - Hamilton Academical were as follows:

01.02.2025 Hamilton Academical - Ayr United 0:2

17.08.2024 Ayr United - Hamilton Academical 3:2

03.08.2024 Hamilton Academical - Ayr United 0:2

18.03.2023 Hamilton Academical - Ayr United 0:2

07.01.2023 Ayr United - Hamilton Academical 1:0

Latest results of Ayr United

15.03.2025 Partick Thistle - Ayr United 2:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Greenock Morton - Ayr United 2:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Queens Park - Ayr United 2:3 ✺

01.03.2025 Ayr United - Airdrieonians 4:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Ayr United - Livingston 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Hamilton Academical

15.03.2025 Hamilton Academical - Greenock Morton 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Airdrieonians - Hamilton Academical 2:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Hamilton Academical - Falkirk 2:2 ✺

25.02.2025 Hamilton Academical - Dunfermline Athletic 1:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Raith Rovers - Hamilton Academical 2:0 ✺

Scottish Football Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone	33	19	11	3	62:25	37	68
2	Partick Thistle	33	17	12	4	50:33	17	63
3	Arbroath	33	12	11	10	41:40	1	47
4	Dunfermline	32	13	7	12	48:37	11	46
5	Raith	32	10	9	13	37:36	1	39
6	Ayr	33	8	15	10	36:42	-6	39
7	Queen's Park	32	9	12	11	34:43	-9	39
8	Morton	33	8	12	13	35:47	-12	36
9	Airdrieonians	32	7	9	16	28:43	-15	30
10	Ross County	33	6	10	17	28:53	-25	28

      Promotion ~ Premiership
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
      Championship (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ League One