Result
2:3
22/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Villarreal A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (395/468) | 90% (491/544) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 3.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (395/468) | 90% (491/544) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (21/46) | 37% (11/30) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (83/120) | 75% (69/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (19/30) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.73 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Lujan G. ⚽,
- 17', 1 - 1, Mercau N. ⚽,
- 38', Lujan G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 53', Micael 🟨,
- 55', Fray I. 🟨,
- 55', Allende T. 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 1, Ojeda A. ⚽, Moralez M. (A), O'Toole K. (A2)
- 61', Moralez M. 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 2, Messi L. ⚽,
- 63', Allende T. ↓, Pinter D. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 3, Micael ⚽, Allen N. (A),
- 75', Parks K. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
- 77', Fray I. ↓, Mura F. ↑,
- 77', Bright Y. ↓, Berterame G. ↑,
- 77', Silvetti M. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
- 81', Wolf H. ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
- 86', Gray T. ↓, Baiera D. ↑,
- 86', Ojeda A. ↓, Reid S. ↑,
Chances of winning
New York City
39.5% | Draw
27.2% | Inter Miami
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
New York City - Inter Miami Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.34) |
3.46 ↑
(3.45) |
2.88 ↓
(2.95) |
5.2%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for New York City - Inter Miami?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 15.4% – 84.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 0.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Inter Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Inter Miami has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in NY City: Jones M.
(Broken Leg)
Martinez A.
(Knee Injury)
Perea A.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Inter Miami: Falcon M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Inter Miami: Reguilon S.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, NY City won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against Inter Miami?
New York City has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Miami won against New York City?
Inter Miami has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Inter Miami were as follows:
29.11.2025
Inter Miami
-
New York City
5:1
24.09.2025
New York City
-
Inter Miami
0:4
22.02.2025
Inter Miami
-
New York City
2:2
21.09.2024
New York City
-
Inter Miami
1:1
30.03.2024
Inter Miami
-
New York City
1:1
Latest results of New York City
Latest results of Inter Miami
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 | 12 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | San Diego FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 11 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Minnesota United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:2 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | New York City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Charlotte | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | DC United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Toronto FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Atlanta Utd | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 3 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:17 | -12 | 3 |
| 14 | Columbus Crew | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
