Result
3:4
02/05/2026 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Gonzalez G. Jr. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports 1, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.00 | 1.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (484/535) | 79% (228/289) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.00 | 1.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.96 | 3.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 60 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (484/535) | 79% (228/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 82% (49/60) | 58% (32/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (170/203) | 68% (66/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.43 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 61% (14/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.62 | 3.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | 0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Fray I. ⚽, Segovia T. (A),
- 18', Jansson R. 🟨,
- 25', 2 - 0, Segovia T. ⚽, Messi L. (A),
- 34', 3 - 0, Messi L. ⚽, Suarez L. (A),
- 36', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 39', 3 - 1, Ojeda M. ⚽, Ellis J. (A),
- 45+5', St.Clair D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Luis Otavio ↓, Atuesta E. ↑,
- 46', Tiago ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
- 52', Bright Y. 🟨,
- 55', Hoyos G. 🟨,
- 59', Ellis J. ↓, McGuire D. ↑,
- 59', de Paul R. 🟨,
- 66', Fray I. ↓, Mura F. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 2, Ojeda M. ⚽, Gomez A. (A),
- 71', Suarez L. ↓, Allende T. ↑,
- 78', Messi L. 🟨,
- 78', 3 - 3, Ojeda M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 87', Gomez A. ↓, Brekalo D. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 4, Spicer T. ⚽, Ojeda B. (A),
- 90+4', Ojeda M. ↓, Taifi Z. ↑,
- 90+7', Crepeau M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Inter Miami
72.7% | Draw
15.5% | Orlando City
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Inter Miami - Orlando City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.33) |
6.06 ↑
(5.07) |
8.15 ↑
(7.93) |
5.1%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Inter Miami - Orlando City?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 6 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 2.
- Inter Miami is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Orlando City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Inter Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Inter Miami is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Inter Miami: Silvetti M.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Orlando City: Gerbet J.
(Knee Injury)
McGuire D.
(Leg Injury)
Pasalic M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Orlando City: Atuesta E.
(Thigh Injury)
Brekalo D.
(Leg Injury)
Titus Jr S.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:29. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 2.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Miami won against Orlando City?
Inter Miami has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against Inter Miami?
Orlando City has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - Orlando City were as follows:
01.03.2026
Orlando City
-
Inter Miami
2:4
27.08.2025
Inter Miami
-
Orlando City
3:1
10.08.2025
Orlando City
-
Inter Miami
4:1
18.05.2025
Inter Miami
-
Orlando City
0:3
15.05.2024
Orlando City
-
Inter Miami
0:0
Latest results of Inter Miami
Latest results of Orlando City
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26:7 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26:6 | 20 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:8 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 20 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20:15 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Portland Timbers | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:26 | -18 | 5 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22:19 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | DC United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:25 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | New York City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:27 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:32 | -16 | 10 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
