Result
2:1
07/02/2026 at 10:01 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 31
- Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (500/577) | 63% (141/224) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (500/577) | 63% (141/224) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (25/58) | 31% (20/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (160/193) | 41% (24/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (11/38) | 33% (1/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Osman I. ⚽,
- 5', Aribo J. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 1, Fatawu I. ⚽,
- 32', De Cordova-Reid B. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mavididi S. ↓, Winks H. ↑,
- 63', Neumann P. ↓, Osayi-Samuel B. ↑,
- 63', Vicente C. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
- 63', Iwata T. ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Stansfield J. ⚽, Ducksch M. (A),
- 71', Lascelles J. ↓, Aluko O. ↑,
- 75', Stansfield J. ↓, Priske A. ↑,
- 77', Daka P. ↓, Ayew J. ↑,
- 77', Fatawu I. ↓, Richards D. ↑,
- 77', Aribo J. ↓, Mukasa D. ↑,
- 84', Begovic A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Birmingham City
55.1% | Draw
24.6% | Leicester City
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Birmingham City - Leicester City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.72) |
3.88 ↓
(3.93) |
4.69 ↑
(4.52) |
4.8%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Leicester City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Birmingham City will win
(23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Birmingham City will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 0.
- Birmingham is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Leicester's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Birmingham has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Birmingham is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Cochrane A.
(Ankle Injury)
Gray D.
(Injury)
Laird E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Robinson J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Leicester: James J.
(Injury)
Okoli C.
(Red Card)
Ramsey A.
(Injury)
Skipp O.
(Injury)
Souttar H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Leicester: Kristiansen V.
(Knock)
- We predict that Birmingham will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:25. (average 1.1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Leicester City?
Birmingham City has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leicester City won against Birmingham City?
Leicester City has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Leicester City were as follows:
29.08.2025
Leicester City
-
Birmingham City
2:0
06.04.2024
Leicester City
-
Birmingham City
2:1
27.01.2024
Leicester City
-
Birmingham City
3:0
18.12.2023
Birmingham City
-
Leicester City
2:3
Latest results of Birmingham City
Latest results of Leicester City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:34 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 5 | Hull | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
