Result
2:1
06/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 13
- Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes Ganza, Startimes Sports Arena, Startimes Sports Focus, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, Startimes World Football |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 4 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (206/280) | 81% (372/461) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 0.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (206/280) | 81% (372/461) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (26/49) | 30% (13/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (50/92) | 68% (101/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 29% (8/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 52 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.56 | 2.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.44 | 0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Keller T. 🟨,
- 37', Gimber B. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Manzambi J. ⚽, Treu P. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Gimber B. ↓, Ibrahimovic A. ↑,
- 46', Keller T. ↓, Siersleben T. ↑,
- 46', Lienhart P. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Mainka P. ⚽, Busch M. (A),
- 67', Manzambi J. ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
- 67', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
- 70', Niehues J. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
- 71', Rosenfelder M. ↓, Jung A. ↑,
- 83', Busch M. ↓, Traore O. H. ↑,
- 84', Kubler L. ↓, Gunter C. ↑,
- 87', Jung A. 🟨,
- 88', Dorsch N. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Schimmer S. ⚽,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3ptsa7zj
Chances of winning
Heidenheim
20.7% | Draw
26.7% | Freiburg
52.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Heidenheim's form might have worsened.Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heidenheim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Heidenheim - Freiburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.62 ↑
(3.68) |
3.59 ↓
(3.64) |
1.82 ↓
(1.98) |
4.6%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Freiburg?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Freiburg will win
(32 of 39 users predict this - 82.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.01% – 94.09%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Freiburg will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 1.
- Heidenheim has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Freiburg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Heidenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Freiburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S.
(Knee Injury)
Feller F.
(Knee Injury)
Kaufmann M.
(Groin Injury)
Paqarada L.
(Knee Injury)
Zivzivadze B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E.
(Muscle Injury)
Irie C.
(Illness)
Makengo J.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Heidenheim won against Freiburg?
Heidenheim has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Heidenheim?
Freiburg has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Freiburg were as follows:
08.02.2025
Freiburg
-
Heidenheim
1:0
21.09.2024
Heidenheim
-
Freiburg
0:3
11.05.2024
Freiburg
-
Heidenheim
1:1
20.12.2023
Heidenheim
-
Freiburg
3:2
Latest results of Heidenheim
Latest results of Freiburg
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 88:23 | 65 | 63 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 51:25 | 26 | 52 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 49:31 | 18 | 46 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 46:33 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 40 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 48:49 | -1 | 34 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 34:39 | -5 | 33 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 30:41 | -11 | 31 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26:34 | -8 | 26 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 33:41 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Mainz | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 23 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 23 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 22 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 33:53 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22:53 | -31 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
