Glentoran vs Larne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 penalties
06/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Irish Cup - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
25
Corner kicks
65
Yellow cards
43
Red cards
10
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
95
Corner kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45', 1 - 0, Palmer C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', O'Connor T. , O'Neill P. ,
  • 64', Malone J. 🟨,
  • 69', Kane M. 🟨,
  • 71', Kamara M. 🟨,
  • 72', Clarke R. , Daniels J. ,
  • 72', McEneff A. , Jenkins J. ,
  • 72', Doherty R. , McKendry C. ,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Ryan A. ,
  • 81', Donnelly A. 🟨,
  • 81', Kane M. , Douglas J. ,
  • 81', Malone J. , Larmour D. ,
  • 88', Kamara M. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 96', McKendry C. 🟨,
  • 97', McEneff J. , Magee B. ,
  • 97', Ryan A. , Simpson J. ,
  • 105', Cosgrove T. 🟨,
  • 108', Stewart J. , Burt L. ,
  • 115', Magee B. , Wallace L. ,
  • Penalties (0 - 3)
  • 1, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Glentoran
38.6%
Draw
29.8%
Larne
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 29.9% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 28.8% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Glentoran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glentoran than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Glentoran - Larne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.59)
    3.04
    (3.05)
    2.86
    (2.61)
    10.4%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Glentoran - Larne?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Larne (2.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Larne (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glentoran won 0.
    • Glentoran is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Larne has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Larne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Glentoran won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 18:36. (average 0.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Glentoran won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Glentoran - Larne were as follows:
    10.02.2026 Larne - Glentoran 2:2
    13.01.2026 Glentoran - Larne 1:4
    12.12.2025 Larne - Glentoran 1:0
    26.04.2025 Larne - Glentoran 0:0
    18.03.2025 Glentoran - Larne 2:2
    Latest results of Glentoran
    28.02.2026 Glentoran - Crusaders 5:1
    24.02.2026 Cliftonville - Glentoran 0:4
    21.02.2026 Linfield - Glentoran 1:0
    Latest results of Larne
    28.02.2026 Ballymena United - Larne 0:2
    24.02.2026 Larne - Linfield 1:1
    20.02.2026 Larne - Carrick Rangers 2:3
    14.02.2026 Portadown - Larne 2:1
    10.02.2026 Larne - Glentoran 2:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1ByeLoughgall
    2WakehurstKnockbreda2 : 4
    3BallinamallardBye
    4ByeInstitute
    5CliftonvilleBye
    6ByeDundela
    7GlenavonBye
    8ByeNewington
    9PortadownBye
    10ByeAnnagh
    11DungannonBye
    12ByeArds
    13NewbuildingsMoyola1 : 2
    14ByeH&W Welders
    15Comber RecHanover3 : 1
    16BallymacashWillowbank4 : 0
    17Strabane AthleticRathfriland2 : 1
    18ByeGlentoran
    19ArmaghBye
    20Newry CityDrumaness1 : 2
    21Lisburn DistilleryFinaghy4 : 2
    22ByeWarrenpoint
    23BallymenaBye
    24ByeLarne
    25LimavadyBye
    26Lisburn RangersDergview5 : 4
    27LinfieldBye
    28ByeBangor FC
    29Carrick RangersBye
    30ByeQueens Univ.
    31ColeraineBye
    32ByeCrusaders

    1/16-finals
    1LoughgallKnockbreda2 : 0
    2BallinamallardInstitute0 : 3
    3CliftonvilleDundela3 : 0
    4GlenavonNewington4 : 2
    5PortadownAnnagh4 : 2
    6DungannonArds3 : 0
    7MoyolaH&W Welders2 : 4
    8Comber RecBallymacash0 : 3
    9Strabane AthleticGlentoran0 : 4
    10ArmaghDrumaness1 : 4
    11Lisburn DistilleryWarrenpoint3 : 4
    12BallymenaLarne1 : 2
    13LimavadyLisburn Rangers4 : 1
    14LinfieldBangor FC1 : 0
    15Carrick RangersQueens Univ.5 : 1
    16ColeraineCrusaders4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1LoughgallInstitute2 : 1
    2CliftonvilleGlenavon2 : 1
    3PortadownDungannon1 : 2
    4H&W WeldersBallymacash3 : 0
    5GlentoranDrumaness5 : 0
    6WarrenpointLarne0 : 2
    7LimavadyLinfield1 : 0
    8Carrick RangersColeraine1 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1LoughgallCliftonville0 : 3
    2DungannonH&W Welders3 : 0
    3GlentoranLarne1 : 2
    4LimavadyColeraine0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1CliftonvilleDungannon
    2LarneColeraine