Result
1:0
21/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (193/312) | 73% (322/444) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (193/312) | 73% (322/444) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (25/80) | 30% (24/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (58/109) | 52% (69/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Kemp D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', de Gevigney M. ↓, O'Keeffe C. ↑,
- 46', Banks S. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
- 46', Shepherd J. ↓, Gent G. ↑,
- 72', Bland J. ↓, Nwakali K. ↑,
- 80', Thompson L. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
- 85', Connell L. ↓, Farrell L. ↑,
- 85', Reid J. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
- 90+5', Phillips M. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stevenage Borough
50.4% | Draw
27.8% | Barnsley
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stevenage Borough's performance.Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barnsley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barnsley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Stevenage Borough - Barnsley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(2.11) |
3.37 ↓
(3.45) |
4.27 ↑
(3.04) |
6.6%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Barnsley?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Barnsley will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 35.9% – 97.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Stevenage (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to international match.
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Stevenage may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Stevenage will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Stevenage: Reid J.
(Injury)
Young J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Barnsley: Bland J.
(Muscle Injury)
Gent G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Jalo F.
(Knee Injury)
Roberts M.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Barnsley?
Stevenage Borough has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Stevenage Borough?
Barnsley has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Barnsley were as follows:
31.01.2026
Barnsley
-
Stevenage Borough
3:1
25.01.2025
Barnsley
-
Stevenage Borough
0:1
14.09.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Barnsley
3:0
09.04.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Barnsley
2:1
23.12.2023
Barnsley
-
Stevenage Borough
2:1
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
Latest results of Barnsley
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
