Result
5:1
14/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 40
- Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (484/544) | 71% (196/276) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (484/544) | 71% (196/276) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (27/45) | 32% (22/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (143/177) | 51% (41/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.66 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 2.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | -2.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Cozier-Duberry A. ⚽, Osei-Tutu J. (A),
- 30', 2 - 0, Kenny J. ⚽, Gale T. (A),
- 39', Sweeney D. ↓, Earley S. ↑,
- 42', Phillips D. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 49', 3 - 0, Cozier-Duberry A. ⚽, Dalby S. (A),
- 56', Dalby S. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
- 56', Cozier-Duberry A. ↓, Apter R. ↑,
- 59', Reid J. ↓, Phillips M. ↑,
- 60', White H. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
- 60', Roberts J. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
- 64', 3 - 1, Kemp D. ⚽, Houghton J. (A),
- 67', 4 - 1, Rodrigues R. ⚽, Burstow M. (A),
- 68', Kenny J. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
- 68', Rodrigues R. ↓, Conway M. ↑,
- 74', Kemp D. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
- 80', Gale T. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
- 81', 5 - 1, Burstow M. ⚽,
- 90+2', Earley S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bolton Wanderers
52.2% | Draw
26.8% | Stevenage Borough
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(1.89) |
3.46 ↑
(3.25) |
4.48 ↑
(3.95) |
6.4%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Stevenage will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 41.1% – 82.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Bolton (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Stevenage (4.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bolton Wanderers will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolton (votes: 3 - 75%). Stevenage (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 2.
- Recent performances by Bolton have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Stevenage is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Bolton is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Bolton: Blackett-Taylor C.
(Thigh Injury)
Erhahon E.
(Inactive)
Forss M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Simons X.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Stevenage: Cornick H.
(Ankle Injury)
Simpson T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: James-Wildin L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Stevenage Borough?
Bolton Wanderers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Bolton Wanderers?
Stevenage Borough has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
20.01.2026
Stevenage Borough
-
Bolton Wanderers
0:0
03.05.2025
Bolton Wanderers
-
Stevenage Borough
1:1
29.10.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Bolton Wanderers
1:4
29.03.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Bolton Wanderers
0:0
03.10.2023
Bolton Wanderers
-
Stevenage Borough
3:2
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
