Result
3:0
22/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Ramos Moreno A. ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 0, Matos T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 73', 3 - 0, Cruz L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Jaraíz 64.1% | Draw 21.9% | Diocesano 13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaraíz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Jaraíz - Diocesano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.42 ↓ (1.51) |
4.16 ↑ (3.8) |
6.57 ↑ (6.06) |
9.5% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 15).
- Recent performances by Jaraíz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Diocesano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Jaraíz is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jaraíz won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jaraíz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Jaraíz won against Diocesano?
Jaraíz has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diocesano won against Jaraíz?
Diocesano has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jaraíz - Diocesano were as follows:
09.11.2025
Diocesano
-
Jaraíz
2:3
20.04.2025
Diocesano
-
Jaraíz
1:2
08.12.2024
Jaraíz
-
Diocesano
3:0
17.12.2023
Jaraíz
-
Diocesano
2:1
Latest results of Diocesano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 69:21 | 48 | 70 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 61:27 | 34 | 68 |
| 3 | Azuaga | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 53:30 | 23 | 62 |
| 4 | Moralo | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 61 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 56 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 7 | Villafranca | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:41 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 33 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 51:50 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Puebla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 38 |
| 12 | Llerenense | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 32:43 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 32:50 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 28:55 | -27 | 30 |
| 16 | Diocesano | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 29:59 | -30 | 29 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23:61 | -38 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 33 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 24:44 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation