Result
0:0
15/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Diocesano 49.1% | Draw 25.5% | Montehermoso 25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diocesano's form might have worsened.Montehermoso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montehermoso's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diocesano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montehermoso than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montehermoso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Diocesano - Montehermoso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.86 ↑ (1.67) |
3.6 ↑ (3.5) |
3.6 ↓ (4.84) |
9.2% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Diocesano is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Montehermoso has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Diocesano is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Diocesano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Diocesano won against Montehermoso?
Diocesano has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montehermoso won against Diocesano?
Montehermoso has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Diocesano - Montehermoso were as follows:
02.11.2025
Montehermoso
-
Diocesano
1:1
05.05.2024
Montehermoso
-
Diocesano
0:0
07.01.2024
Diocesano
-
Montehermoso
4:2
Latest results of Diocesano
Latest results of Montehermoso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 69:21 | 48 | 70 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 61:27 | 34 | 68 |
| 3 | Azuaga | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 53:30 | 23 | 62 |
| 4 | Moralo | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 61 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 56 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 7 | Villafranca | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:41 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 33 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 51:50 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Puebla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 38 |
| 12 | Llerenense | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 32:43 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 32:50 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 28:55 | -27 | 30 |
| 16 | Diocesano | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 29:59 | -30 | 29 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23:61 | -38 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 33 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 24:44 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation