Diocesano vs Montehermoso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
15/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Diocesano
49.1%
Draw
25.5%
Montehermoso
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.9% 26.2% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 25.4% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diocesano's form might have worsened.
  • Montehermoso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montehermoso's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diocesano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montehermoso than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montehermoso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Diocesano - Montehermoso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.67)
    3.6
    (3.5)
    3.6
    (4.84)
    9.2%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Diocesano is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Montehermoso has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Diocesano is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Diocesano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Diocesano - Montehermoso were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Montehermoso - Diocesano 1:1
    05.05.2024 Montehermoso - Diocesano 0:0
    07.01.2024 Diocesano - Montehermoso 4:2
    Latest results of Diocesano
    08.03.2026 Villanovense - Diocesano 5:1
    22.02.2026 Llerenense - Diocesano 3:0
    15.02.2026 Diocesano - Badajoz 0:2
    01.02.2026 Diocesano - Montijo 1:0
    Latest results of Montehermoso
    08.03.2026 Montehermoso - Villafranca 1:0
    01.03.2026 Don Benito - Montehermoso 3:1
    14.02.2026 Azuaga - Montehermoso 1:0
    08.02.2026 Montehermoso - Gévora 1:3
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito30197459:194064
    2CD Badajoz30195649:262359
    3Moralo30169549:282157
    4Azuaga30167746:271955
    5Jaraiz301410648:272152
    6Cabeza del Buey301312539:231651
    7Villafranca301361136:35145
    8Villanovense301281037:33444
    9Montijo301171236:34240
    10Jerez CF30717650:44638
    11Llerenense301061428:36-836
    12Santa Amalia30961529:46-1733
    13Puebla307111228:40-1232
    14Diocesano306101428:49-2128
    15Gevora30681628:48-2026
    16Pueblonuevo30751824:51-2726
    17CD Calamonte303131422:36-1422
    18Montehermoso30571820:54-3422

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