Result
3:2
01/02/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.31 | 0.88 |
| Ball possession |
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| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
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| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
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| 85% (425/498) | 80% (239/300) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.31 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.90 | 1.91 |
| Total shots |
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| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 20 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
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| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
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| 85% (425/498) | 80% (239/300) |
| Long passes |
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| 62% (41/66) | 48% (25/52) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 59% (75/128) | 71% (55/77) |
| Crosses |
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| 36% (9/25) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 2.07 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
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| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
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| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
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| 100% (11/11) | 100% (8/8) |
| Duels won |
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| 41 | 32 |
| Clearances |
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| 18 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
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| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.91 | 2.90 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.09 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Nuntagowat T. ⚽,
- 37', Sawatlakhorn W. 🟨,
- 44', Do T. ↓, Saric M. ↑,
- 45+6', 1 - 1, Gleyson ⚽, Tana (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Deeromram K. ↓, Promrak A. ↑,
- 51', Saric M. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 1, Deni Junior ⚽, Negueba (A),
- 64', Tasa K. ↓, Willian Popp ↑,
- 66', 3 - 1, Kaewprom J. ⚽,
- 68', Jakkuprasat S. ↓, Limwannasthian T. ↑,
- 71', Khamyok K. 🟨,
- 72', Tana ↓, Wonggorn J. ↑,
- 76', Ahannach A. ↓, Tsonkov S. ↑,
- 76', Sawatlakhorn W. ↓, Danuphon B. ↑,
- 79', Kaewprom J. 🟨,
- 88', Gleyson ↓, Poomkaew C. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 2, Willian Popp ⚽, Strauss J. (A),
- 90+2', Negueba 🟨,
- 90+7', Kim Dong-Su 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ratchaburi 60.5% | Draw 22.3% | Muangthong United 17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ratchaburi - Muangthong United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.5 ↓ (1.67) |
4.08 ↑ (4.03) |
5.28 ↑ (4.18) |
9.9% (8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Ratchaburi - Muangthong United?
Users Predictions:
Ratchaburi will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ratchaburi will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ratchaburi won 2.
- In recent matches, Ratchaburi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Muangthong United has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ratchaburi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ratchaburi is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ratchaburi won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ratchaburi won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ratchaburi won against Muangthong United?
Ratchaburi has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Muangthong United won against Ratchaburi?
Muangthong United has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ratchaburi - Muangthong United were as follows:
21.09.2025
Muangthong United
-
Ratchaburi
1:3
10.05.2025
Muangthong United
-
Ratchaburi
3:2
19.01.2025
Ratchaburi
-
Muangthong United
1:0
28.08.2024
Muangthong United
-
Ratchaburi
2:0
11.05.2024
Ratchaburi
-
Muangthong United
1:2
Latest results of Ratchaburi
Latest results of Muangthong United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 48:19 | 29 | 47 |
| 2 | Ratchaburi | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 31:17 | 14 | 38 |
| 3 | Bangkok Utd | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 30:20 | 10 | 36 |
| 4 | Port MTI FC | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 36:18 | 18 | 33 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 33 |
| 6 | Rayong FC | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 30:24 | 6 | 27 |
| 7 | Ayutthaya Utd | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 27:28 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Prachuap | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 24:26 | -2 | 24 |
| 9 | Chiangrai Utd | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 22:27 | -5 | 24 |
| 10 | Uthai Thani | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 30:32 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 | Chonburi | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Sukhothai | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 20 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 27:37 | -10 | 19 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 20 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 20:34 | -14 | 16 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 18:39 | -21 | 13 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11:30 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2