Naxxar Lions vs Valletta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
15/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Second stage - Top 6 - Round 29
  • Referee: Casha D. (Mlt)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+

Match Stats

Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
43
Corner kicks
25
Yellow cards
11
Red cards
01
Total shots
86
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
43
Corner kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Tavares D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Zammit A. , Adebayo A. ,
  • 55', Yankam Y. , Mendoza J. ,
  • 63', Thaylor 🟥,
  • 64', Yuri , Ellul M. ,
  • 68', Letherby D. , Bugeja S. ,
  • 81', Kontchou C. , Montero Y. ,
  • 86', Paiber B. , Brewer S. ,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Pace Cocks N. ,
  • 90+1', Mbende E. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Pace Cocks N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Naxxar Lions
9.8%
Draw
18%
Valletta
72.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.2% 25.3% 54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9% 25% 55.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Naxxar Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Naxxar Lions's form might have worsened.
  • Valletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valletta's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naxxar Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (-17%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valletta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Naxxar Lions - Valletta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.47
    (4.45)
    5.14
    (3.55)
    1.28
    (1.65)
    8.2%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Naxxar Lions - Valletta?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Naxxar will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Valletta will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 2.
    • In recent matches, Naxxar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Valletta is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Naxxar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Valletta has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Valletta is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:22. (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Naxxar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Naxxar Lions - Valletta were as follows:
    01.02.2026 Valletta - Naxxar Lions 4:2
    05.10.2025 Naxxar Lions - Valletta 0:1
    28.04.2024 Naxxar Lions - Valletta 4:0
    07.01.2024 Valletta - Naxxar Lions 1:2
    Latest results of Naxxar Lions
    Latest results of Valletta
    12.04.2026 Valletta - Gżira United 2:1
    04.04.2026 Valletta - Birkirkara 3:1
    14.03.2026 Marsaxlokk - Valletta 1:1
    04.03.2026 Valletta - Hamrun Spartans 3:1
    Maltese Premier League Table
    Second stage - Top 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Floriana16114128:121637
    2Marsaxlokk1694322:20231
    3Hamrun1684426:111528
    4Valletta1666421:13824
    5Gzira1663717:17021
    6Naxxar1655623:26-320