Marsaxlokk vs Valletta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
26/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Second stage - Top 6 - Round 31
  • Referee: Petrovic S. (Mlt)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
51
Corner kicks
65
Yellow cards
30
Total shots
89
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
38
Corner kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Aguirre L. ,
  • 45+2', Pepe E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Minala J. , Mihana R. ,
  • 58', Thaylor , Zammit A. ,
  • 63', Mafoumbi C. 🟨,
  • 71', Azzopardi J. , Mendoza J. ,
  • 71', Meijer S. , Adebayo A. ,
  • 74', El Hasni O. 🟨,
  • 77', Kirby J. , Weder ,
  • 82', Yankam Y. , Quinones J. E. ,
  • 89', Dodo , Ghio J. ,
  • 89', Arias U. , Linden R. ,

Chances of winning


Marsaxlokk
48.7%
Draw
26.3%
Valletta
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.4% 28% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 27.9% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marsaxlokk's performance.
  • Valletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valletta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-20.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marsaxlokk that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (+18.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valletta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marsaxlokk - Valletta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (3.15)
    3.48
    (3.2)
    3.66
    (2.05)
    9.3%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Valletta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Marsaxlokk has had a series of home games.
    • Valletta could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marsaxlokk won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marsaxlokk - Valletta were as follows:
    14.03.2026 Marsaxlokk - Valletta 1:1
    20.12.2025 Valletta - Marsaxlokk 1:0
    12.09.2025 Valletta - Marsaxlokk 3:1
    25.02.2024 Valletta - Marsaxlokk 0:2
    22.10.2023 Marsaxlokk - Valletta 0:1
    Latest results of Marsaxlokk
    19.04.2026 Marsaxlokk - Gżira United 2:1
    15.04.2026 Marsaxlokk - Floriana 1:3
    14.03.2026 Marsaxlokk - Valletta 1:1
    08.03.2026 Marsaxlokk - Naxxar Lions 1:1
    Latest results of Valletta
    18.04.2026 Floriana - Valletta 2:0
    15.04.2026 Naxxar Lions - Valletta 1:1
    12.04.2026 Valletta - Gżira United 2:1
    04.04.2026 Valletta - Birkirkara 3:1
    14.03.2026 Marsaxlokk - Valletta 1:1
    Maltese Premier League Table
    Second stage - Top 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Floriana16114128:121637
    2Marsaxlokk1694322:20231
    3Hamrun1684426:111528
    4Valletta1666421:13824
    5Gzira1663717:17021
    6Naxxar1655623:26-320