Heidenheim vs Köln – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
2:2
10/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 16
  • Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 7
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.932.50
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
1421
Shots on target
69
Big chances
44
Corner kicks
54
Passes
82% (394/482)79% (303/384)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
1.932.50
xG on target (xGOT)
2.042.53
Total shots
1421
Shots on target
69
Shots off target
47
Blocked shots
45
Shots inside the box
1013
Shots outside the box
48
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
44
Corner kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1329
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
79
Passes
82% (394/482)79% (303/384)
Long passes
55% (38/69)45% (30/66)
Passes in final third
59% (72/123)64% (73/114)
Crosses
26% (5/19)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.922.00
Throw ins
2719
Fouls
97
Tackles
53% (8/15)73% (8/11)
Duels won
3851
Clearances
3234
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
64
xGOT faced
2.532.04
Goals prevented
0.530.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Pieringer M. ⚽, Schoppner J. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Martel E. ⚽, Castro-Montes A. (A),
  • 21', Martel E. 🟨,
  • 26', 2 - 1, Niehues J. ⚽,
  • 44', Ibrahimovic A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Huseinbasic D. ↓, El Mala S. ↑,
  • 48', 2 - 2, El Mala S. ⚽, Castro-Montes A. (A),
  • 52', Fohrenbach J. 🟨,
  • 60', Schoppner J. ↓, Beck A. ↑,
  • 60', Ibrahimovic A. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
  • 62', Schenten F. ↓, Maina L. ↑,
  • 75', Castro-Montes A. ↓, Lund K. ↑,
  • 75', Thielmann J. ↓, Bulter M. ↑,
  • 78', Pieringer M. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
  • 78', Traore O. H. ↓, Busch M. ↑,
  • 83', Conteh S. ↓, Kaufmann M. ↑,
  • 90+2', Ache R. ↓, Niang Y. ↑,

Chances of winning


Heidenheim
33.8%		Draw
27.5%		Köln
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.6% 26.1% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 25.7% 41.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
    •

    Heidenheim - Köln Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.81 ↓
    (2.92)    		 3.46 ↓
    (3.64)    		 2.45 ↑
    (2.3)    		 5.3%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Köln?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). Köln will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 46.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.8% – 64.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 1 - 20%). Köln (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH 0 - Köln (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Heidenheim (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Heidenheim (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Köln (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 11).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Köln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Behrens H. (Injury) Feller F. (Knee Injury) Kolle A. (Illness) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury) Zivzivadze B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Köln: Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Schmied J. (Thigh Injury) Waldschmidt L. (Illness) van den Berg R. (Red Card)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Köln were as follows:
    18.05.2024 Heidenheim - Köln 4:1
    13.01.2024 Köln - Heidenheim 1:1
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    21.12.2025 Heidenheim - Bayern Munich 0:4 ✺
    13.12.2025 St. Pauli - Heidenheim 2:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Heidenheim - Freiburg 2:1 ✺
    29.11.2025 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 1:2 ✺
    22.11.2025 Heidenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:3 ✺
    Latest results of Köln
    05.01.2026 Lugano - Köln 1:2 ✺
    20.12.2025 Köln - Union Berlin 0:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Köln 2:0 ✺
    06.12.2025 Köln - St. Pauli 1:1 ✺
    29.11.2025 Werder Bremen - Köln 1:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 282341100:277373
    2Dortmund28197260:283264
    3RB Leipzig28165755:361953
    4Stuttgart28165756:381853
    5Hoffenheim29156857:431451
    6Bayer Leverkusen28147758:391949
    7Eintracht Frankfurt28109952:53-139
    8Freiburg281071141:47-637
    9Mainz28891135:43-833
    10Augsburg29961436:53-1733
    11Union Berlin28881232:47-1532
    12Hamburger SV287101132:41-931
    13B. Monchengladbach28791235:48-1330
    14Werder Bremen28771431:49-1828
    15FC Koln28691340:49-927
    16St. Pauli28671525:45-2025
    17Wolfsburg28561738:63-2521
    18Heidenheim28371829:63-3416

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
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