St. Pauli vs Köln – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg).

Bundesliga - Round 30
Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Setanta Sports 2
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.79	1.25
Ball possession
49%	51%
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
6	1
Big chances
5	1
Corner kicks
8	5
Passes
80% (338/424)	82% (378/460)
Yellow cards
4	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.79	1.25
xG on target (xGOT)
2.12	0.96
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked shots
3	4
Shots inside the box
8	6
Shots outside the box
5	4
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
5	1
Corner kicks
8	5
Touches in opposition box
19	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free kicks
2	6
Passes
80% (338/424)	82% (378/460)
Long passes
29% (12/42)	30% (19/64)
Passes in final third
58% (76/131)	61% (77/126)
Crosses
39% (7/18)	25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.41	0.41
Throw ins
25	23
Fouls
6	2
Tackles
73% (8/11)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
24	49
Clearances
28	44
Interceptions
8	13
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	4
xGOT faced
0.96	2.12
Goals prevented
-0.04	1.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Thielmann J. ↓, Maina L. ↑,
51', Ache R. ↓, Bulter M. ↑,
65', Ritzka L. ↓, Saliakas M. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Mets K. ⚽, Wahl H. (A),
70', Castro-Montes A. ↓, Lund K. ↑,
71', Hountondji A. 🟨,
76', Ando T. 🟨,
77', Hountondji A. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
79', Sebulonsen S. ↓, Chavez F. ↑,
79', Johannesson I. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Waldschmidt L. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Pereira Lage M. 🟨,
87', El Mala S. 🟨,
87', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Kaars M. ↑,
90+6', Sinani D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

St. Pauli
31.3%

Draw
29.4%

Köln
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28.6%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

28%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Pauli's form might have worsened.

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Köln's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Pauli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Köln, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

St. Pauli - Köln Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.35)	3.25 ↓ (3.33)	2.44 ↓ (3.07)	4.4% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Köln?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Köln will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.25 - St. Pauli (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Pauli (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 0.
St. Pauli is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Köln's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in St. Pauli: Fujita J. (Yellow Cards) Jones R.J. (Ankle Injury) Sands J. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Köln: Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in St. Pauli: Smith E. (Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.7:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).

How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Köln?

St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Köln won against St. Pauli?

Köln has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Köln were as follows:

06.12.2025 Köln - St. Pauli 1:1

Latest results of St. Pauli

11.04.2026 St. Pauli - Bayern Munich 0:5 ✺

05.04.2026 Union Berlin - St. Pauli 1:1 ✺

22.03.2026 St. Pauli - Freiburg 1:2 ✺

13.03.2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli 2:0 ✺

08.03.2026 St. Pauli - Eintracht Frankfurt 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Köln

12.04.2026 Köln - Werder Bremen 3:1 ✺

05.04.2026 Eintracht Frankfurt - Köln 2:2 ✺

21.03.2026 Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:3 ✺

14.03.2026 Hamburger SV - Köln 1:1 ✺

07.03.2026 Köln - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich ✔	32	26	5	1	116:35	81	83
2	Dortmund	32	20	7	5	65:32	33	67
3	RB Leipzig	32	19	5	8	63:42	21	62
4	Bayer Leverkusen	32	17	7	8	66:43	23	58
5	Stuttgart	32	17	7	8	66:46	20	58
6	Hoffenheim	32	17	7	8	64:48	16	58
7	Freiburg	32	12	8	12	45:53	-8	44
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	32	11	10	11	57:60	-3	43
9	Augsburg	32	11	7	14	42:56	-14	40
10	Mainz	32	9	10	13	41:50	-9	37
11	B. Monchengladbach	32	8	11	13	37:50	-13	35
12	Hamburger SV	32	8	10	14	36:51	-15	34
13	Union Berlin	32	8	9	15	37:57	-20	33
14	FC Koln	32	7	11	14	47:55	-8	32
15	Werder Bremen	32	8	8	16	37:57	-20	32
16	Wolfsburg	32	6	8	18	42:67	-25	26
17	St. Pauli	32	6	8	18	27:55	-28	26
18	Heidenheim	32	5	8	19	38:69	-31	23

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )