Port Vale vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 37
  • Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.750.39
Ball Possession
31%69%
Goal Attempts
205
Shots on Goal
81
Shots off Goal
74
Blocked Shots
50
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
46
Shots inside the Box
172
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Free Kicks
109
Offsides
01
Fouls
910
Yellow Cards
02
Throw-ins
2420
Touches in the Opposition Box
339
Passes
67% (175/260)85% (504/592)
Passes in the final third
56% (63/112)65% (81/125)
Crosses
39% (9/23)5% (1/20)
Tackles
52% (14/27)45% (5/11)
Clearances Total
3429
Interceptions
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Tolaj L. , Stockley J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', 2 - 0, Stockley J. , Curtis R. (A),
  • 53', Tripp C. , O'Reilly T. ,
  • 55', O'Reilly T. 🟨,
  • 65', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Thompson-Sommers K. ,
  • 66', Lawrence N. , Hogan S. ,
  • 70', Walters R. , Croasdale R. ,
  • 71', Stockley J. , Umolu J. ,
  • 83', Tolaj L. , Garrity B. ,
  • 90', Crowley D. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 3 - 0, Garrity B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Port Vale
46%
Draw
28.1%
Milton Keynes Dons
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 26.3% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 25.7% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.88)
    3.35
    (3.56)
    3.64
    (3.88)
    6.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons?
  • Users Predictions: Port Vale will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 3.
    • Recent matches Port Vale is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • MK Dons is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • MK Dons could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Port Vale will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Garrity B. (Foot Injury) Headley J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Leko J. (Knee Injury) Sanders J. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:13 (average 0.8:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    12.10.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Port Vale 0:1
    04.03.2023 Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0
    Latest results of Port Vale
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley351912458:352369
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Chesterfield351414755:441156
    7Crewe351681152:411156
    8Grimsby341510949:381155
    9Salford341741347:46155
    10Barnet3514111044:37753
    11Walsall341581142:37553
    12Colchester3413101148:381049
    13Fleetwood341391244:42248
    14Oldham331113936:30646
    15Accrington341371437:36146
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere35981847:62-1535
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Newport35772135:61-2628
    23Barrow33762033:51-1827
    24Harrogate35692025:52-2727

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League