Result
2:2
05/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 2.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (238/321) | 73% (231/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 2.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (238/321) | 73% (231/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (27/65) | 42% (24/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (36/77) | 63% (87/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 36% (10/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 2.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | -0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Calheira T. (Pen),
- 17', 1 - 1, Bonfiglio F. (Pen),
- 36', Vazquez C. 🟨,
- 38', Dalou A. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Goldthorp E. ⚽, St.Clair H. (A),
- 45+2', Marcos Serrato 🟨,
- 45+5', Romero M. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Akinyode B. 🟨,
- 56', St.Clair H. 🟨,
- 60', Blanco S. ↓, Hoyos K. ↑,
- 62', Colli G. ↓, Webber J. ↑,
- 62', St.Clair H. ↓, Seagrist P. ↑,
- 62', Calheira T. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 2, Bonfiglio F. ⚽,
- 68', Melano L. ↓, Veron D. ↑,
- 68', Vazquez C. ↓, Cardona N. ↑,
- 81', Stauffer L. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
- 86', Cissoko A. 🟨,
- 87', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Zarate T. ↑,
- 89', Mitrano A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Cardona N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Miami
37.7% | Draw
27.1% | Tulsa
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami's performance.Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tulsa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tulsa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Miami - Tulsa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(3.02) |
3.38 ↑
(3.23) |
2.6 ↑
(2.23) |
9.3%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Miami has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Miami won against Tulsa?
Miami has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Miami?
Tulsa has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Miami - Tulsa were as follows:
19.06.2024
Tulsa
-
Miami
2:1
12.07.2023
Tulsa
-
Miami
1:0
11.03.2023
Miami
-
Tulsa
1:1
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 23:27 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico ✔ | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
