Result
4:1
29/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (353/426) | 84% (322/383) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (353/426) | 84% (322/383) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (39/80) | 52% (32/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (82/124) | 71% (64/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (16/22) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -1.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Rocha A. ⚽, Romero M. (A),
- 12', 2 - 0, Tunbridge M. ⚽, Locadia J. (A),
- 17', 3 - 0, Ndiaye B. ⚽,
- 25', Knutson D. 🟨,
- 30', 3 - 1, Bachstein D. ⚽, Torrellas M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Strumeier J. ↓, Gay H. ↑,
- 46', Rocha A. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
- 51', Ndiaye B. 🟨,
- 55', 4 - 1, Locadia J. ⚽, Musto T. (A),
- 56', Gay H. 🟥,
- 56', Locadia J. 🟥,
- 61', Diallo M. ↓, Ndongo M. ↑,
- 64', Mesias A. ↓, Miglietti G. ↑,
- 64', Garcia C. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
- 70', Knutson D. ↓, Kilwien P. ↑,
- 72', Cisneros J. ↓, Rose T. ↑,
- 78', Ferrin A. ↓, Arevalo W. ↑,
- 85', Milesi A. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 85', Tunbridge M. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 87', Ndongo M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Miami
48.3% | Draw
26% | Naples
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miami's form might have worsened.Naples has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naples's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+12.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naples than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naples, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Miami - Naples Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.59) |
3.52 ↓
(3.98) |
3.56 ↓
(4.74) |
9.3%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Miami - Naples?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Naples will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Miami has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Naples is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Naples has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Miami is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Miami won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
- Including home match between the teams, Miami won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Miami won against Naples?
Miami has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naples won against Miami?
Naples has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Miami - Naples were as follows:
31.05.2025
Miami
-
Naples
3:2
