Result
1:5
18/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 5)
- 54', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 63', 0 - 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 66', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 73', 0 - 4, ⚽,
- 84', 1 - 4, ⚽,
- 88', 1 - 5, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Diocesano
46.8% | Draw
29.5% | Jerez
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Diocesano's performance.Jerez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jerez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Diocesano - Jerez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.3) |
3.07 ↑
(2.96) |
3.83 ↑
(2.98) |
10.3%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 12)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 3.
- Recent form of Diocesano has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Jerez has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home match between the teams, Diocesano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Diocesano won against Jerez?
Diocesano has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jerez won against Diocesano?
Jerez has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Diocesano - Jerez were as follows:
23.03.2025
Diocesano
-
Jerez
4:1
10.11.2024
Jerez
-
Diocesano
0:2
14.01.2024
Jerez
-
Diocesano
2:1
Latest results of Diocesano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 50:15 | 35 | 51 |
| 2 | Moralo | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 44 |
| 3 | Jaraiz | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 39:23 | 16 | 42 |
| 4 | Cabeza del Buey | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 30:17 | 13 | 41 |
| 5 | CD Badajoz | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 41 |
| 6 | Azuaga | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 34:24 | 10 | 40 |
| 7 | Villanovense | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Llerenense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 9 | Jerez CF | 24 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 38:29 | 9 | 33 |
| 10 | Villafranca | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 33 |
| 11 | Montijo | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 26:27 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Puebla | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 24:28 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 23:32 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 | Gevora | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Diocesano | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 22:37 | -15 | 20 |
| 16 | CD Calamonte | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17:44 | -27 | 15 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17:46 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
