Diocesano vs Gévora – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
12/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Nagera A. ,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Nagera A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 2 - 1, Monroy J. ,

Chances of winning


Diocesano
42.7%
Draw
28.9%
Gévora
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 28% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 26.7% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Gévora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diocesano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gévora than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Diocesano - Gévora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.95)
    3.14
    (3.24)
    3.2
    (3.57)
    10.2%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Gévora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Diocesano might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Diocesano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Diocesano - Gévora were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Gévora - Diocesano 0:0
    Latest results of Diocesano
    05.04.2026 Calamonte - Diocesano 1:1
    02.04.2026 Pueblonuevo - Diocesano 2:1
    22.03.2026 Jaraíz - Diocesano 3:0
    15.03.2026 Diocesano - Montehermoso 0:0
    Latest results of Gévora
    03.04.2026 Gévora - Villafranca 2:0
    29.03.2026 Don Benito - Gévora 2:0
    22.03.2026 Gévora - Santa Amalia 3:0
    15.03.2026 Azuaga - Gévora 2:0
    08.03.2026 Jerez - Gévora 3:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito33217569:214870
    2CD Badajoz33225661:273468
    3Azuaga33188753:302362
    4Moralo331710653:312261
    5Jaraiz331511752:331956
    6Cabeza del Buey331412744:291554
    7Villafranca331661141:36554
    8Villanovense331581045:351053
    9Montijo331271441:41043
    10Jerez CF33717951:50138
    11Puebla339111335:47-1238
    12Llerenense331081532:43-1138
    13Santa Amalia33971729:50-2134
    14Gevora33891632:50-1833
    15Pueblonuevo33861928:55-2730
    16Diocesano336111629:59-3029
    17Montehermoso33582023:61-3823
    18CD Calamonte333131724:44-2022

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