Result
3:0
28/03/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 76', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 88', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Añorga
26.1% | Draw
27.8% | Derio
46.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Añorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Añorga's form might have worsened.Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derio's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Añorga than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Añorga - Derio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.51 ↑
(2.83) |
3.3 ↓
(3.31) |
1.98 ↓
(2.24) |
9.2%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
- Añorga has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Derio is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Añorga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Añorga won against Derio?
Añorga has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derio won against Añorga?
Derio has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Añorga - Derio were as follows:
15.11.2025
Derio
-
Añorga
4:0
20.01.2024
Derio
-
Añorga
2:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 68:28 | 40 | 75 |
| 2 | Leioa | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 48:31 | 17 | 61 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 57 |
| 4 | Derio | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 55 |
| 5 | Lagun Onak | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 51:32 | 19 | 54 |
| 6 | Alaves C | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 56:38 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad C | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 46:38 | 8 | 52 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 35:26 | 9 | 52 |
| 9 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 40:40 | 0 | 51 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 53:60 | -7 | 42 |
| 11 | Durango | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 31:35 | -4 | 41 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 39 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 36 |
| 14 | Anorga | 33 | 11 | 4 | 18 | 36:57 | -21 | 34 |
| 15 | Eibar C | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 41:53 | -12 | 33 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 41:56 | -15 | 33 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 30:59 | -29 | 30 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 25:47 | -22 | 25 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
