Result
1:1
24/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Russia | Match TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (304/373) | 74% (202/273) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (304/373) | 74% (202/273) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (32/55) | 35% (21/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (81/126) | 67% (78/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Oroz D. ⚽, Shitov V. (A),
- 43', Senhadji R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kashtanov A. ↓, Giorgobiani N. ↑,
- 46', Ivlev A. ↓, Shchetinin M. ↑,
- 46', Senhadji R. ↓, Bryzgalov S. ↑,
- 52', Iljin V. 🟨,
- 60', Ivanisenia D. 🟨,
- 66', Kovalev A. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
- 77', Dmitriev I. ↓, Babaev U. ↑,
- 77', Babkin S. ↓, Vityugov M. ↑,
- 83', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 1, Iljin V. (Pen),
- 90', Evgenyev R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Brahimi M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Giorgobiani N. 🟨,
- 90+5', Bozhin S. 🟨,
- 90+6', Shitov V. ↓, Rahmanovic A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fakel
36.5% | Draw
29.9% | Krylya Sovetov
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Krylya Sovetov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Fakel - Krylya Sovetov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.61) |
3.26 ↓
(3.28) |
2.9 ↓
(2.91) |
2.7%
(3.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fakel - Krylya Sovetov?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Fakel will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Krylya Sovetov will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fakel will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 10).
- Fakel is Relegated to FNL
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Fakel could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Fakel: Alshin I.
(Yellow Cards)
Dziov M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Bijl G.
(Red Card)
Fernando Costanza
(Red Card)
Lomaev I.
(Shoulder Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Krylya Sovetov?
Fakel has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Krylya Sovetov won against Fakel?
Krylya Sovetov has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fakel - Krylya Sovetov were as follows:
11.08.2024
Krylya Sovetov
-
Fakel
2:0
25.04.2024
Fakel
-
Krylya Sovetov
0:1
02.09.2023
Krylya Sovetov
-
Fakel
3:0
28.05.2023
Fakel
-
Krylya Sovetov
2:1
27.11.2022
Krylya Sovetov
-
Fakel
1:0
Latest results of Krylya Sovetov
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 34 | 60 |
| 2 | Zenit | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 52:36 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 27 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 37:17 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 38:28 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 |
| 10 | Krylya Sovetov | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 31:48 | -17 | 29 |
| 11 | Akron Togliatti | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 27 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27:38 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 23:44 | -21 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 24:56 | -32 | 18 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
