Result
2:1
01/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 28
- Referee: Karasev S. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4P |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 27% | 73% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (128/201) | 83% (430/515) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 5 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (128/201) | 83% (430/515) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (19/60) | 50% (22/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (24/55) | 70% (123/176) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 14% (6/43) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 40 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 100% (4/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 59 | 4 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Fernando Costanza (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Fernandes G. ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
- 58', Banjac M. ↓, Akhmetov I. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Ugalde M. ⚽, Dmitriev I. (A),
- 66', Vityugov M. 🟨,
- 70', Litvinov R. 🟨,
- 71', Oleynikov I. ↓, Stolbov K. ↑,
- 72', Rahmanovic A. ↓, Shumansky A. ↑,
- 75', Bozhin S. ↓, Galdames T. ↑,
- 75', Akhmetov I. ↓, Oroz D. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Pechenin K. ⚽, Stolbov K. (A),
- 83', Ugalde M. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
- 83', Wooh C. ↓, Martins C. ↑,
- 86', Solari P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Krylya Sovetov
21.8% | Draw
24.2% | Spartak Moscow
54% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krylya Sovetov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Krylya Sovetov - Spartak Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.37 ↓
(5.3) |
3.93 ↓
(4) |
1.76 ↑
(1.53) |
5.1%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 0.
- Krylya Sovetov has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Spartak M is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Krylya Sovetov has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Spartak M is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Geoffrey C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Spartak M: Babic S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 22:41. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Krylya Sovetov won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Krylya Sovetov won against Spartak Moscow?
Krylya Sovetov has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Krylya Sovetov?
Spartak Moscow has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Krylya Sovetov - Spartak Moscow were as follows:
21.09.2025
Spartak Moscow
-
Krylya Sovetov
2:1
06.07.2025
Spartak Moscow
-
Krylya Sovetov
2:2
18.05.2025
Krylya Sovetov
-
Spartak Moscow
0:2
19.09.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Krylya Sovetov
4:1
14.08.2024
Krylya Sovetov
-
Spartak Moscow
0:3
Latest results of Krylya Sovetov
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 56:21 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | Zenit | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 50:18 | 32 | 62 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 52:36 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 28 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 37:18 | 19 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 39:31 | 8 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 26:26 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 22:30 | -8 | 30 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 31:48 | -17 | 29 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 27 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 23:46 | -23 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 27:57 | -30 | 21 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
