Result
03/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 2 |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 2 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 2, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (209/300) | 74% (249/335) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (209/300) | 74% (249/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (23/56) | 42% (27/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (43/86) | 56% (41/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.75 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 40% (6/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Cardozo R. 🟨,
- 32', Anez C. 🟨,
- 45', Somoya M. 🟨,
- 45+5', Torres S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Somoya M. ↓, Navarro D. ↑,
- 54', Leanos H. ↓, Thomaz ↑,
- 58', Anez C. ↓, Rafinha ↑,
- 70', Pedro ↓, Ferrufino R. ↑,
- 70', Thiago Ribeiro ↓, Gil S. ↑,
- 74', Rivas R. ↓, Cristaldo J. E. ↑,
- 74', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
- 79', Willie ↓, Cristaldo G. ↑,
- 90+4', Moreno A. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
- Penalties (3 - 2)
- 1, Rafinha (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Cristaldo J. E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Maciel M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Cristaldo G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Robles D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Torres S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Ferrufino R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Navarro D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Peredo G. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Independiente Petroleros
42.8% | Draw
26% | Guabirá
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Petroleros's form might have worsened.Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guabirá's recent form is better than expected.
Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(1.87) |
3.64 ↑
(3.47) |
3.03 ↓
(3.78) |
6.2%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Guabirá will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Petroleros: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 2.
- Ind Petroleros could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against Guabirá?
Independiente Petroleros has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against Independiente Petroleros?
Guabirá has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá were as follows:
02.12.2025
Independiente Petroleros
-
Guabirá
3:1
13.08.2025
Guabirá
-
Independiente Petroleros
3:1
30.06.2025
Guabirá
-
Independiente Petroleros
1:1
20.05.2025
Independiente Petroleros
-
Guabirá
0:1
27.10.2024
Guabirá
-
Independiente Petroleros
1:2
Latest results of Independiente Petroleros
Latest results of Guabirá
Draw
2026Final| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | Recoleta | |
| 2 | Sportivo Trinidense | Olimpia Asuncion | |
| 3 | Alianza Atl. | Deportivo Garcilaso | |
| 4 | Cienciano | FBC Melgar | |
| 5 | Montevideo City | Defensor Sp. | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Boston River | Racing Montevideo | |
| 7 | Puerto Cabello | Monagas | |
| 8 | Caracas | Metropolitanos | |
| 9 | U. De Chile | Palestino | |
| 10 | Cobresal | A. Italiano | |
| 11 | Atl. Nacional | Millonarios | |
| 12 | America De Cali | Bucaramanga | |
| 13 | Independiente | Guabira | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Blooming | SA Bulo Bulo | |
| 15 | Dep. Cuenca | Libertad | |
| 16 | Orense | Macara | |
