Result
1:1
30/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Division Profesional - Round 12
- Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (366/470) | 62% (181/290) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (366/470) | 62% (181/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (30/70) | 36% (30/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (73/120) | 57% (73/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Mercado A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Navarro D. 🟨,
- 45+3', Peredo G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Saucedo O. ↓, Masskooni N. ↑,
- 46', Villarroel M. ↓, Baigorria Y. ↑,
- 46', Paiva S. ↓, Melgar S. ↑,
- 46', Thiago Ribeiro ↓, Barco C. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 1, Mercado A. ⚽, Cardozo R. (A),
- 52', Portillo M. 🟨,
- 56', Barco C. 🟨,
- 60', Morales J. 🟨,
- 68', 1 - 1, Peredo G. ⚽,
- 70', Chajtur M. ↓, Ubah B. ↑,
- 70', Mercado A. ↓, Arteaga N. ↑,
- 86', Rafinha ↓, Hurtado Badani L. E. ↑,
- 90+4', Cardozo R. ↓, Rivera E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Guabirá
55.7% | Draw
24.6% | Independiente Petroleros
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-13.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guabirá that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Petroleros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.75) |
3.73 ↓
(3.78) |
4.58 ↑
(3.94) |
9.2%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Guabirá will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guabirá (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 11 and 13)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 2.
- Guabirá has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ind Petroleros is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Guabirá is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guabirá won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against Independiente Petroleros?
Guabirá has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against Guabirá?
Independiente Petroleros has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros were as follows:
20.05.2025
Independiente Petroleros
-
Guabirá
0:1
27.10.2024
Guabirá
-
Independiente Petroleros
1:2
12.07.2024
Independiente Petroleros
-
Guabirá
0:0
08.04.2024
Independiente Petroleros
-
Guabirá
3:2
18.02.2024
Guabirá
-
Independiente Petroleros
2:1
Latest results of Guabirá
Latest results of Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 37:13 | 24 | 28 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:19 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | Blooming | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 25:18 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 29:16 | 13 | 21 |
| 5 | GV San Jose | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 17 |
| 6 | Oriente Petrolero | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:20 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | SA Bulo Bulo | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:24 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 | Tomayapo | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 | Universitario de Vinto | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 13 |
| 10 | Academia del Balompie | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Guabira | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:29 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Independiente | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17:21 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Nacional Potosi | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8:28 | -20 | 5 |
| 16 | Aurora | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23:21 | 2 | -17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
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