Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:5
09/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball, ZhiBo8
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.94
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
820
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
77% (186/243)90% (496/549)
Yellow Cards
50
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.392.07
Total shots
820
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
18
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
410
Shots outside the Box
410
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1526
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
77% (186/243)90% (496/549)
Long passes
28% (13/46)60% (15/25)
Passes in final third
61% (40/66)87% (181/209)
Crosses
29% (2/7)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.98
Throw-ins
1512
Fouls
1710
Tackles
43% (3/7)88% (15/17)
Duels won
3359
Clearances
1316
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.070.39
Goals prevented
-1.93-1.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Tachibanada K. , Marcinho (A),
  • 15', Uremovic F. 🟥,
  • 17', Ito T. , Jesiel ,
  • 22', van Wermeskerken S. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Nago S. ,
  • 28', 2 - 1, Erison ,
  • 35', 2 - 2, Erison (Own goal),
  • 45+7', van Wermeskerken S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 59', Iwasaki Y. , Maejima Y. ,
  • 64', Yamamoto Y. 🟨,
  • 71', 2 - 3, Nago S. (Pen),
  • 71', Sasaki A. 🟨,
  • 72', Erison , Romanic L. ,
  • 72', Yamamoto Y. , Kawahara S. ,
  • 74', Kamijima T. , Hashimoto Y. ,
  • 74', Shigemi M. , Wellington ,
  • 78', Wakizaka Y. , Ozeki Y. ,
  • 78', Marcinho , Ienaga A. ,
  • 85', 2 - 4, Usui S. , Nago S. (A),
  • 88', 2 - 5, Konno K. , Fujimoto K. (A),
  • 90+1', Usui S. , Akino H. ,
  • 90+1', Konno K. , Ben Khalifa N. ,
  • 90+5', Ienaga A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kawasaki Frontale
54.2%
Draw
25.8%
Avispa Fukuoka
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 26.8% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 27.4% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.9)
    3.76
    (3.52)
    4.91
    (4.05)
    3.4%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Kawasaki Frontale will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.81%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kawasaki Frontale will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Avispa Fukuoka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Kawasaki is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Kawasaki: Lee G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kawasaki: Marcinho (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Shichi T. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:15. (average 2.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 2.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Kawasaki Frontale 1:2
    08.12.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka 3:1
    06.05.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Kawasaki Frontale 1:1
    20.10.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka 4:2
    08.10.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka 4:2
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers9702016:723
    2FC Tokyo10432116:920
    3Machida10431216:1619
    4Kawasaki Frontale9321316:1714
    5Verdy9320414:1413
    6Kashiwa Reysol9310515:1311
    7Urawa Reds9302413:1311
    8Mito9123311:1810
    9Yokohama F. Marinos9300612:159
    10Chiba920259:168


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe10612120:1022
    2Gamba Osaka9332116:1317
    3Nagoya Grampus9412215:1216
    4Shimizu S-Pulse10323214:1216
    5Kyoto9321312:1114
    6V-Varen Nagasaki9400510:1412
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima9310513:1311
    8Cerezo Osaka922149:1111
    9Okayama9213310:1511
    10Avispa Fukuoka912159:178

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)