Augsburg vs Mainz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
1:4
20/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 4
  • Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.872.36
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
86% (416/486)72% (235/328)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.872.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.992.10
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
1111
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
2727
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
86% (416/486)72% (235/328)
Long passes
51% (21/41)38% (22/58)
Passes in final third
79% (124/157)66% (95/145)
Crosses
31% (11/36)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.660.90
Throw-ins
2726
Fouls
1310
Tackles
82% (14/17)82% (9/11)
Duels won
4654
Clearances
2433
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
2.100.99
Goals prevented
-1.90-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Sano K. ⚽,
  • 16', Kohr D. 🟨,
  • 18', Gouweleeuw J. 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 2, Kohr D. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Zesiger C. ↓, Schlotterbeck K. ↑,
  • 46', Wolf M. ↓, Jakic K. ↑,
  • 46', Saad E. ↓, Essende S. ↑,
  • 46', Rexhbecaj E. ↓, Fellhauer R. ↑,
  • 53', Kohr D. 🟨,
  • 56', Nordin A. ↓, Bell S. ↑,
  • 60', 0 - 3, Nebel P. ⚽, Sano K. (A),
  • 67', Gouweleeuw J. ↓, Tietz P. ↑,
  • 69', 0 - 4, Sieb A. ⚽, Hanche-Olsen A. (A),
  • 81', Mwene P. ↓, Widmer S. ↑,
  • 81', Hanche-Olsen A. ↓, Leitsch M. ↑,
  • 81', Sieb A. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
  • 83', 1 - 4, Essende S. ⚽,
  • 85', Caci A. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,

Chances of winning


Augsburg
22.1%		Draw
27.4%		Mainz
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 28% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 28.5% 36.5%

Augsburg - Mainz Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 6.05 ↑
(2.73)		 4.53 ↑
(3.4)		 2.28 ↓
(2.56)		 -17.5%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Augsburg - Mainz?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Mainz will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 23.2% – 66.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mainz (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 1.
    • In recent matches, Augsburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mainz's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Augsburg: Giannoulis D. (Thigh Injury) Kade A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Mainz: Dal M. (Knee Injury) Hollerbach B. (Hamstring Injury) Lee Jae-Sung (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mainz: Widmer S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 31:31. (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 2.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Augsburg - Mainz were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Mainz - Augsburg 0:0
    20.09.2024 Augsburg - Mainz 2:3
    17.02.2024 Mainz - Augsburg 1:0
    23.09.2023 Augsburg - Mainz 2:1
    11.02.2023 Mainz - Augsburg 3:1
    Latest results of Augsburg
    14.09.2025 St. Pauli - Augsburg 2:1 ✺
    03.09.2025 Augsburg - Greuther Fürth 1:2
    30.08.2025 Augsburg - Bayern Munich 2:3 ✺
    23.08.2025 Freiburg - Augsburg 1:3 ✺
    17.08.2025 Hallescher - Augsburg 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Mainz
    13.09.2025 Mainz - RB Leipzig 0:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Wolfsburg - Mainz 1:1 ✺
    28.08.2025 Mainz - Rosenborg 4:1 ✺
    24.08.2025 Mainz - Köln 0:1 ✺
    21.08.2025 Rosenborg - Mainz 2:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich15132055:114441
    2Dortmund1595126:121432
    3Bayer Leverkusen1592433:201329
    4RB Leipzig1592430:191129
    5Hoffenheim1583429:20927
    6Stuttgart1582525:22326
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1574430:30025
    8Union Berlin1563620:23-321
    9Freiburg1555525:26-120
    10Werder Bremen1545618:28-1017
    11FC Koln1544722:24-216
    12B. Monchengladbach1544718:24-616
    13Hamburger SV1544716:25-916
    14Wolfsburg1543823:28-515
    15Augsburg1542917:28-1114
    16St. Pauli1533913:26-1312
    17Heidenheim15321013:34-2111
    18Mainz1515913:26-138

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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