Result
1:2
26/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-america | Claro Sports 2 Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Avalos V. ⚽,
- 12', Cruz G. O. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Castaneda J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sequen M. ↓, Aguilar Y. ↑,
- 46', Ruiz K. ↓, Romero M. ↑,
- 52', Cruz G. O. ↓, Estrada J. ↑,
- 58', 🟨,
- 61', Avalos V. ↓, Robles Hristopher ↑,
- 78', Garrido S. ↓, Morales H. ↑,
- 78', Hernandez Y. ↓, Palencia D. ↑,
- 82', Palencia D. 🟥,
- 86', 1 - 2, Quiros D. ⚽,
- 87', Cardenas S. ↓, Quezada Gamez H. E. ↑,
- 90', Sanchez D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Guastatoya
41.5% | Draw
32% | Xelajú
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Guastatoya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Guastatoya's performance.Xelajú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Guastatoya that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (+1%)
Deportivo Guastatoya - Xelajú Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.62) |
2.88 ↑
(2.55) |
3.47 ↑
(3.3) |
8.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Guastatoya - Xelajú?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Guastatoya will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guastatoya (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guastatoya won 0.
- In recent matches, Guastatoya has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Xelajú is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Xelajú has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guastatoya won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guastatoya won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Guastatoya won against Xelajú?
Deportivo Guastatoya has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Xelajú won against Deportivo Guastatoya?
Xelajú has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Guastatoya - Xelajú were as follows:
17.08.2025
Xelajú
-
Deportivo Guastatoya
5:0
13.04.2025
Deportivo Guastatoya
-
Xelajú
2:2
08.02.2025
Xelajú
-
Deportivo Guastatoya
1:0
15.09.2024
Deportivo Guastatoya
-
Xelajú
1:1
17.03.2024
Deportivo Guastatoya
-
Xelajú
1:1
Latest results of Deportivo Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Mixco | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 35 |
| 2 | Municipal | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 30:12 | 18 | 33 |
| 3 | Aurora F.C | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 27:19 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Antigua | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Xelaju | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportivo Achuapa | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | Mictlan | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 19 |
| 8 | Coban Imperial | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18:21 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 | Marquense | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 18 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 19:28 | -9 | 16 |
| 11 | Comunicaciones | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11:20 | -9 | 13 |
| 12 | Guastatoya | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13:28 | -15 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
